Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Dougie Hamilton vs Tom Wilson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dougie Hamilton's 1.74.

Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games.

This week Hamilton has 1 game left; Wilson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Wilson for 2.3 ESPN points to Hamilton's 1.6.

Tom Wilson has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Hamilton's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Transition attempts /60 1.42, Ascension score 54.

Wilson's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 162, On-ice PDO 1017, Luck Meter +40.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dougie Hamilton

1.74

fantasy points per game

Tom Wilson

2.24

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Tom Wilson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHamiltonWilson
Goals (+2)0.420.78
Assists (+1)0.330.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.08
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.20
Hits (+0.1)0.120.25
Blocks (+0.5)0.500.44

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Hamilton vs Wilson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HamiltonWilson
13Team record in 30 meetings17
13Points in those games22

Hamilton 8G 5A, 87 SOG · Wilson 10G 12A, 62 SOG

4Hits on each other6
2Shots blocked by the other0

Hamilton blocked 2 of Wilson's shots; Wilson blocked 0 of Hamilton's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Hamilton's side)

14:25 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Hamilton's side

Shot attempts
12–15
44.4%
Expected goals
0.6–0.4
56.1%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Dougie Hamilton and Tom Wilson
DateScoreHamiltonWilson
2026-04-02NJD 7–3 WSH1G 0A 4S1G 1A 3S
2026-03-20NJD 1–2 WSH0G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2025-12-27NJD 3–4 WSH0G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2024-11-30NJD 5–6 WSH0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2024-11-23NJD 3–2 WSH1G 0A 7S0G 0A 2S
2024-10-19NJD 5–6 WSH1G 0A 4S2G 1A 4S
2024-10-12NJD 5–3 WSH0G 0A 4S1G 0A 5S
2023-11-10NJD 2–4 WSH0G 0A 3S0G 2A 3S
2023-10-25NJD 4–6 WSH0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2023-04-13NJD 5–4 WSH1G 0A 3S1G 0A 4S
2023-03-09NJD 3–2 WSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2022-03-26NJD 3–4 WSH0G 0A 2S1G 0A 4S

Latest 12 of 30 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HamiltonWilson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dougie Hamilton

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.6 pts
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

Tom Wilson

2games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.3 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Dougie Hamilton or Tom Wilson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dougie Hamilton's 1.74. Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dougie Hamilton or Tom Wilson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tom Wilson leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hamilton and Wilson done against each other?
In 30 games against each other in our data, Hamilton's team went 13–17. Hamilton had 13 points (8 goals) and Wilson had 22 (10 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →