Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Dylan Guenther vs Tage Thompson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tage Thompson's 2.26.

Guenther had 73 points in 79 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games.

This week Guenther has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Thompson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Guenther for 3.2 ESPN points to Thompson's 2.6.

Tage Thompson has the better number in 16 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Guenther's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.4, Transition attempts /60 2.52, Plus/minus +7.

Thompson's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.35, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.008, Blocked shots 48.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 2 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dylan Guenther

2.36

fantasy points per game

Tage Thompson

2.26

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dylan Guenther has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromGuentherThompson
Goals (+2)1.200.93
Assists (+1)0.390.47
Power-play points (+0.5)0.200.14
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.320.34
Hits (+0.1)0.080.10
Blocks (+0.5)0.170.28

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Guenther vs Thompson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

GuentherThompson
5Team record in 5 meetings0
2Points in those games2

Guenther 1G 1A, 14 SOG · Thompson 1G 1A, 9 SOG

On the ice against each other (Guenther's side)

6:33 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Guenther's side

Shot attempts
5–1
83.3%
Expected goals
0.2–0.0
99.5%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Dylan Guenther and Tage Thompson
DateScoreGuentherThompson
2025-11-12UTA 5–2 BUF0G 0A 6S0G 0A 0S
2025-11-04UTA 2–1 BUF0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-20UTA 5–2 BUF1G 0A 3S0G 1A 3S
2024-12-07UTA 5–2 BUF0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2022-11-08ARI 4–1 BUF0G 0A 2S1G 0A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

GuentherThompson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dylan Guenther

3games (2 left)

3.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.6 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.6 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Tage Thompson

2games (1 left)

2.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to CLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.6 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

FAQ

Should I start Dylan Guenther or Tage Thompson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tage Thompson's 2.26. Guenther had 73 points in 79 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dylan Guenther or Tage Thompson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tage Thompson leads in 16 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Guenther and Thompson done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Guenther's team went 5–0. Guenther had 2 points (1 goals) and Thompson had 2 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →