Who to start · 2025-26
Dylan Guenther vs Tom Wilson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tom Wilson's 2.24.
Guenther had 73 points in 79 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games.
This week Guenther has 2 games left; Wilson has 1 left. We project Guenther for 4.0 ESPN points to Wilson's 1.9.
Dylan Guenther has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Guenther's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 2.52, Offensive-zone time 45.2%, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.17.
Wilson's biggest edges: Blocked shots 53, Forecheck xG /60 0.51, Penalty minutes 117.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 2 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dylan Guenther
2.36
fantasy points per game
Tom Wilson
2.24
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Dylan Guenther has the edge.
| Points per game from | Guenther | Wilson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.20 | 0.78 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.39 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.08 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.08 | 0.25 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.44 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Guenther vs Wilson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Guenther 5G 4A, 28 SOG · Wilson 3G 2A, 13 SOG
On the ice against each other (Guenther's side)
9:41 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Guenther's side
- Shot attempts
- 18–12
- 60.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.7–0.9
- 43.6%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Guenther | Wilson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | UTA 4–7 WSH | 2G 0A 8S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-03-03 | UTA 3–2 WSH | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-02-09 | UTA 5–4 WSH | 1G 1A 5S | 2G 1A 4S |
| 2024-11-18 | UTA 2–6 WSH | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-03-03 | ARI 5–2 WSH | 1G 2A 5S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-01-19 | ARI 0–4 WSH | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dylan Guenther
3games (2 left)
4.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
- Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ2.0 ptsSchedule edge −1.0 win%
- Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B2.0 ptsSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Tom Wilson
2games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.9 ptsSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dylan Guenther or Tom Wilson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tom Wilson's 2.24. Guenther had 73 points in 79 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dylan Guenther or Tom Wilson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Guenther leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Guenther and Wilson done against each other?
- In 6 games against each other in our data, Guenther's team went 3–3. Guenther had 9 points (5 goals) and Wilson had 5 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →