Who to start · 2025-26
Dylan Strome vs Jake Guentzel
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Strome's 1.72.
Strome had 58 points in 80 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games.
This week Strome has 1 game left; Guentzel has 1 left. We project Guentzel for 2.3 ESPN points to Strome's 1.6.
Jake Guentzel has the better number in 27 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Strome's biggest edges: Draw Equity /100 +0.104, Faceoff win % 58.3%, Faceoffs won 777.
Guentzel's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.6, Luck Meter +40, 20+ mph bursts 99.
Head to head on the dot, Strome leads Guentzel 9–4.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dylan Strome
1.72
fantasy points per game
Jake Guentzel
2.21
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jake Guentzel has the edge.
| Points per game from | Strome | Guentzel |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.45 | 0.88 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.58 | 0.58 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.01 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Strome vs Guentzel
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Strome 3G 10A, 29 SOG · Guentzel 9G 16A, 50 SOG
Strome's offensive zone 5–2 · neutral 4–1 · Strome's defensive zone 0–1 (2024-25 to 2025-26)
Strome blocked 1 of Guentzel's shots; Guentzel blocked 2 of Strome's.
On the ice against each other (Strome's side)
20:02 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Strome's side
- Shot attempts
- 18–17
- 51.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–1.1
- 26.5%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Strome | Guentzel |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 | WSH 3–5 TBL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-11-08 | WSH 2–3 TBL | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2025-10-14 | WSH 3–2 TBL | 0G 2A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-01 | WSH 1–3 TBL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-11-27 | WSH 5–4 TBL | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-10-26 | WSH 0–3 TBL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-04-05 | WSH 2–4 CAR | 0G 2A 2S | 2G 1A 4S |
| 2024-03-22 | WSH 7–6 CAR | 0G 3A 0S | 0G 3A 4S |
| 2024-01-02 | WSH 4–3 PIT | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2023-10-13 | WSH 0–4 PIT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2023-03-25 | WSH 3–4 PIT | 1G 1A 6S | 1G 0A 7S |
| 2023-01-26 | WSH 3–2 PIT | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 3S |
Latest 12 of 19 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dylan Strome
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.6 ptsSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Jake Guentzel
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH2.3 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dylan Strome or Jake Guentzel in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Strome's 1.72. Strome had 58 points in 80 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dylan Strome or Jake Guentzel?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Guentzel leads in 27 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Strome and Guentzel done against each other?
- In 19 games against each other in our data, Strome's team went 8–11. Strome had 13 points (3 goals) and Guentzel had 25 (9 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Strome or Guentzel?
- Against each other, Strome has won 9 and Guentzel 4 of their 13 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →