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Who to start · 2025-26

Dylan Strome vs Mathew Barzal

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mathew Barzal projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Strome's 1.72.

Strome had 58 points in 80 games; Barzal had 72 in 81 games.

This week Strome has 1 game left; Barzal has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Strome for 1.8 ESPN points to Barzal's 1.4.

Mathew Barzal has the better number in 24 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.

Strome's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 58.3%, Draw Equity /100 +0.104, Faceoffs won 777.

Barzal's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 313, Offensive-zone time 45.4%, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.02.

Head to head on the dot, Strome leads Barzal 8–6.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dylan Strome

1.62

fantasy points per game

Mathew Barzal

1.82

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mathew Barzal has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromStromeBarzal
Goals (+2)0.470.47
Assists (+1)0.490.65
Power-play points (+0.5)0.130.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.23
Hits (+0.1)0.010.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.330.31

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Strome vs Barzal

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

StromeBarzal
9Team record in 12 meetings3
6Points in those games7

Strome 3G 3A, 22 SOG · Barzal 4G 3A, 31 SOG

8Faceoffs against each other6

Strome's offensive zone 1–2 · neutral 3–4 · Strome's defensive zone 4–0 (2018-19 to 2025-26)

0Shots blocked by the other1

Strome blocked 0 of Barzal's shots; Barzal blocked 1 of Strome's.

On the ice against each other (Strome's side)

11:59 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Strome's side

Shot attempts
10–15
40.0%
Expected goals
0.5–0.9
37.2%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Dylan Strome and Mathew Barzal
DateScoreStromeBarzal
2026-02-02WSH 4–1 NYI0G 0A 0S1G 0A 1S
2025-11-30WSH 4–1 NYI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-10-11WSH 4–2 NYI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2023-12-29WSH 1–5 NYI0G 0A 2S0G 1A 4S
2023-12-20WSH 3–2 NYI1G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2023-11-11WSH 4–1 NYI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2023-11-02WSH 0–3 NYI0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2023-01-16WSH 4–3 NYI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2021-12-05CHI 3–2 NYI1G 0A 2S0G 2A 2S
2019-12-27CHI 5–2 NYI0G 2A 4S0G 0A 3S
2019-01-22CHI 3–2 NYI1G 1A 1S1G 0A 3S
2019-01-03CHI 2–3 NYI0G 0A 2S2G 0A 8S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

StromeBarzal

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dylan Strome

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to CSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

Mathew Barzal

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Nico Daws (.908)

FAQ

Should I start Dylan Strome or Mathew Barzal in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mathew Barzal projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Strome's 1.72. Strome had 58 points in 80 games; Barzal had 72 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dylan Strome or Mathew Barzal?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mathew Barzal leads in 24 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Strome and Barzal done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Strome's team went 9–3. Strome had 6 points (3 goals) and Barzal had 7 (4 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Strome or Barzal?
Against each other, Strome has won 8 and Barzal 6 of their 14 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →