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Who to start · 2025-26

Dylan Strome vs Nathan MacKinnon

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Strome's 1.72.

Strome had 58 points in 80 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.

This week Strome has 1 game left; MacKinnon has 1 left. We project MacKinnon for 3.2 ESPN points to Strome's 1.6.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 26 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Strome's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 58.3%, Ascension score 55, Draw Equity /100 +0.104.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 455, Goals above expected +4.3, Top skating speed 24.8.

Head to head on the dot, Strome leads MacKinnon 29–24.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dylan Strome

1.72

fantasy points per game

Nathan MacKinnon

3.32

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromStromeMacKinnon
Goals (+2)0.451.49
Assists (+1)0.580.87
Power-play points (+0.5)0.150.21
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.46
Hits (+0.1)0.010.09
Blocks (+0.5)0.340.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Strome vs MacKinnon

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

StromeMacKinnon
5Team record in 18 meetings13
11Points in those games20

Strome 4G 7A, 41 SOG · MacKinnon 9G 11A, 76 SOG

29Faceoffs against each other24

Strome's offensive zone 17–15 · neutral 7–6 · Strome's defensive zone 5–3 (2018-19 to 2025-26)

0Hits on each other1
2Shots blocked by the other0

Strome blocked 2 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 0 of Strome's.

On the ice against each other (Strome's side)

8:46 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Strome's side

Shot attempts
6–22
21.4%
Expected goals
0.4–0.9
30.2%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Dylan Strome and Nathan MacKinnon
DateScoreStromeMacKinnon
2026-03-22WSH 2–3 COL0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2026-01-19WSH 2–5 COL0G 1A 4S2G 1A 10S
2024-11-21WSH 1–2 COL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2024-11-15WSH 5–2 COL0G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S
2024-02-13WSH 3–6 COL0G 0A 2S0G 2A 5S
2024-01-24WSH 2–6 COL2G 0A 3S4G 1A 8S
2023-01-24WSH 2–3 COL0G 1A 3S0G 1A 1S
2022-11-19WSH 0–4 COL0G 0A 2S1G 1A 3S
2022-01-24CHI 0–2 COL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 4S
2022-01-04CHI 3–4 COL0G 1A 2S0G 1A 2S
2019-12-21CHI 5–3 COL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2019-12-18CHI 1–4 COL0G 0A 1S1G 0A 5S

Latest 12 of 18 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

StromeMacKinnon

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dylan Strome

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.6 pts
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%

Nathan MacKinnon

2games (1 left)

3.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL3.2 pts
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%

FAQ

Should I start Dylan Strome or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Strome's 1.72. Strome had 58 points in 80 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dylan Strome or Nathan MacKinnon?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 26 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Strome and MacKinnon done against each other?
In 18 games against each other in our data, Strome's team went 5–13. Strome had 11 points (4 goals) and MacKinnon had 20 (9 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Strome or MacKinnon?
Against each other, Strome has won 29 and MacKinnon 24 of their 53 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →