Who to start · 2025-26
Eeli Tolvanen vs Lawson Crouse
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Eeli Tolvanen projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Lawson Crouse's 1.65.
Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Crouse had 44 in 81 games.
This week Tolvanen has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Crouse has 2 left with 2 tough matchups. We project Crouse for 2.4 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.3.
Lawson Crouse has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Tolvanen's biggest edges: Ascension score 57, Power-play points 14, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.010.
Crouse's biggest edges: Plus/minus +20, Goals above expected +3.5, Corsi 53.3%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Eeli Tolvanen
1.71
fantasy points per game
Lawson Crouse
1.65
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Eeli Tolvanen has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tolvanen | Crouse |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.48 | 0.56 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.49 | 0.30 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tolvanen vs Crouse
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tolvanen 3G 7A, 28 SOG · Crouse 5G 3A, 32 SOG
On the ice against each other (Tolvanen's side)
7:20 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tolvanen's side
- Shot attempts
- 10–11
- 47.6%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.4
- 31.3%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tolvanen | Crouse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | SEA 2–6 UTA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-01-17 | SEA 3–6 UTA | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 2A 4S |
| 2025-12-12 | SEA 3–5 UTA | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2025-04-08 | SEA 1–7 UTA | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-03-14 | SEA 4–2 UTA | 2G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-12-30 | SEA 5–2 UTA | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-04-09 | SEA 5–0 ARI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-03-22 | SEA 1–2 ARI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-11-07 | SEA 3–4 ARI | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-04-10 | SEA 4–1 ARI | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-04-06 | SEA 4–2 ARI | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-04-03 | SEA 8–1 ARI | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 4S |
Latest 12 of 14 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Eeli Tolvanen
4games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOSOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBLOpp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BOpp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.3 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Lawson Crouse
3games (2 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs CHIOpp allows 2nd-most FP to LWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.2 ptsOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.2 ptsOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Eeli Tolvanen or Lawson Crouse in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Eeli Tolvanen projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Lawson Crouse's 1.65. Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Crouse had 44 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Eeli Tolvanen or Lawson Crouse?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Lawson Crouse leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tolvanen and Crouse done against each other?
- In 14 games against each other in our data, Tolvanen's team went 8–6. Tolvanen had 10 points (3 goals) and Crouse had 8 (5 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →