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Who to start · 2025-26

Eeli Tolvanen vs Mark Scheifele

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mark Scheifele projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71.

Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Scheifele had 103 in 82 games.

This week Tolvanen has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Scheifele has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Scheifele for 1.6 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.3.

Mark Scheifele has the better number in 28 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tolvanen's biggest edges: Hits 187, Transition attempts /60 1.47, Hardest shot 92.8.

Scheifele's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 594, Goals above expected +3.3, Offensive-zone start % 70.0%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Eeli Tolvanen

1.71

fantasy points per game

Mark Scheifele

2.23

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mark Scheifele has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTolvanenScheifele
Goals (+2)0.480.82
Assists (+1)0.260.77
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.170.20
Hits (+0.1)0.240.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.490.27

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tolvanen vs Scheifele

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TolvanenScheifele
4Team record in 11 meetings7
3Points in those games14

Tolvanen 2G 1A, 20 SOG · Scheifele 5G 9A, 23 SOG

1Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other1

Tolvanen blocked 0 of Scheifele's shots; Scheifele blocked 1 of Tolvanen's.

On the ice against each other (Tolvanen's side)

26:13 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Tolvanen's side

Shot attempts
17–27
38.6%
Expected goals
1.0–1.0
48.5%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Eeli Tolvanen and Mark Scheifele
DateScoreTolvanenScheifele
2026-04-06SEA 2–6 WPG0G 0A 4S0G 3A 4S
2025-11-13SEA 5–3 WPG1G 0A 1S1G 1A 2S
2025-10-23SEA 3–0 WPG0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-16SEA 2–3 WPG0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-01-16SEA 1–2 WPG0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2024-10-24SEA 3–4 WPG0G 0A 0S0G 2A 2S
2024-03-08SEA 0–3 WPG0G 0A 3S1G 0A 3S
2024-03-05SEA 4–3 WPG0G 0A 3S0G 1A 0S
2023-02-14SEA 2–3 WPG0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2022-01-20NSH 5–2 WPG1G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2022-02-12NSH 2–5 WPG0G 0A 3S1G 2A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TolvanenScheifele

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Eeli Tolvanen

4games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.3 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Mark Scheifele

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.6 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

FAQ

Should I start Eeli Tolvanen or Mark Scheifele in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mark Scheifele projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71. Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Scheifele had 103 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Eeli Tolvanen or Mark Scheifele?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mark Scheifele leads in 28 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tolvanen and Scheifele done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Tolvanen's team went 4–7. Tolvanen had 3 points (2 goals) and Scheifele had 14 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →