Who to start · 2025-26
Eeli Tolvanen vs Matt Roy
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Eeli Tolvanen projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54.
Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Roy had 19 in 79 games.
This week Tolvanen has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Roy has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Roy for 1.8 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.2.
Matt Roy has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Tolvanen's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 30, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.010, Power-play share 47.4%.
Roy's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Plus/minus +18, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.18.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Eeli Tolvanen
1.71
fantasy points per game
Matt Roy
1.54
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Eeli Tolvanen has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tolvanen | Roy |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.48 | 0.05 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.07 | 0.00 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.24 | 0.16 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.49 | 1.02 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tolvanen vs Roy
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tolvanen 0G 1A, 16 SOG · Roy 2G 1A, 15 SOG
Tolvanen blocked 1 of Roy's shots; Roy blocked 4 of Tolvanen's.
On the ice against each other (Tolvanen's side)
6:27 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Tolvanen's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–4
- 55.6%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.1
- 71.8%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tolvanen | Roy |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-21 | SEA 1–4 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-09 | SEA 2–4 WSH | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-23 | SEA 0–3 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-04-03 | SEA 2–5 LAK | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-12-20 | SEA 2–1 LAK | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-12-16 | SEA 2–3 LAK | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-04-01 | SEA 1–3 LAK | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-10-18 | NSH 3–4 LAK | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 0A 6S |
| 2022-01-06 | NSH 4–2 LAK | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-10-19 | NSH 2–1 LAK | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Eeli Tolvanen
4games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOSOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to RW
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBLOpp allows the most FP to RW
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BSchedule edge −9.3 win%
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.2 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Matt Roy
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 10th-fewest FP to D
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Eeli Tolvanen or Matt Roy in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Eeli Tolvanen projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54. Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Roy had 19 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Eeli Tolvanen or Matt Roy?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Matt Roy leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tolvanen and Roy done against each other?
- In 10 games against each other in our data, Tolvanen's team went 3–7. Tolvanen had 1 points (0 goals) and Roy had 3 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →