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Who to start · 2025-26

Eeli Tolvanen vs Matthew Schaefer

Eeli TolvanenEeli TolvanenRangers · Right wingvsMatthew SchaeferMatthew SchaeferIslanders · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Schaefer projects to 2.02 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71.

Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Schaefer had 59 in 82 games.

This week Tolvanen has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Schaefer has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Schaefer for 2.4 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.3.

Matthew Schaefer has the better number in 28 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tolvanen's biggest edges: Hits 187, Hardest shot 92.8, Blocked shots 81.

Schaefer's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Goals above expected +3.8, Plus/minus +13.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Eeli Tolvanen

1.71

fantasy points per game

Matthew Schaefer

2.02

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Matthew Schaefer has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTolvanenSchaefer
Goals (+2)0.480.53
Assists (+1)0.260.41
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.10
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.170.27
Hits (+0.1)0.240.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.490.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tolvanen vs Schaefer

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TolvanenSchaefer
1Team record in 2 meetings1
0Points in those games0

Tolvanen 0G 0A, 2 SOG · Schaefer 0G 0A, 4 SOG

On the ice against each other (Tolvanen's side)

4:10 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tolvanen's side

Shot attempts
2–7
22.2%
Expected goals
0.0–0.1
17.3%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Eeli Tolvanen and Matthew Schaefer
DateScoreTolvanenSchaefer
2026-01-21SEA 4–1 NYI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-11-23SEA 0–1 NYI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TolvanenSchaefer

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Eeli Tolvanen

4games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.3 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Matthew Schaefer

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD2.4 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to DSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Nico Daws (.908)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Eeli Tolvanen or Matthew Schaefer in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Schaefer projects to 2.02 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71. Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Schaefer had 59 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Eeli Tolvanen or Matthew Schaefer?
On 2025-26 numbers, Matthew Schaefer leads in 28 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tolvanen and Schaefer done against each other?
In 2 games against each other in our data, Tolvanen's team went 1–1. Tolvanen had 0 points (0 goals) and Schaefer had 0 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →