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Who to start · 2025-26

Eeli Tolvanen vs Mattias Ekholm

Eeli TolvanenEeli TolvanenRangers · Right wingvsMattias EkholmMattias EkholmOilers · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Eeli Tolvanen projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43.

Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Ekholm had 41 in 82 games.

This week Tolvanen has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Ekholm has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Tolvanen for 1.3 ESPN points to Ekholm's 1.1.

Mattias Ekholm has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tolvanen's biggest edges: Ascension score 57, Hits 187, Blocked shots 81.

Ekholm's biggest edges: High-danger chances 58.3%, Faceoffs won 0, Expected goals 58.4%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Eeli Tolvanen

1.71

fantasy points per game

Mattias Ekholm

1.43

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Eeli Tolvanen has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTolvanenEkholm
Goals (+2)0.480.13
Assists (+1)0.260.38
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.02
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.170.15
Hits (+0.1)0.240.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.490.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tolvanen vs Ekholm

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TolvanenEkholm
1Team record in 12 meetings11
7Points in those games12

Tolvanen 5G 2A, 29 SOG · Ekholm 1G 11A, 19 SOG

3Hits on each other0
1Shots blocked by the other2

Tolvanen blocked 1 of Ekholm's shots; Ekholm blocked 2 of Tolvanen's.

3Goals set up by the other1

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice against each other (Tolvanen's side)

15:01 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Tolvanen's side

Shot attempts
12–16
42.9%
Expected goals
0.3–1.1
22.1%
Goals
0–2

Games against each other

Games between Eeli Tolvanen and Mattias Ekholm
DateScoreTolvanenEkholm
2026-03-31SEA 0–3 EDM0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-12-04SEA 4–9 EDM1G 0A 3S0G 2A 0S
2025-11-29SEA 0–4 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2025-10-25SEA 3–2 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2025-03-22SEA 4–5 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 2A 1S
2025-01-27SEA 2–4 EDM1G 0A 2S1G 1A 5S
2025-01-04SEA 2–4 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-03-02SEA 1–2 EDM1G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2024-01-18SEA 2–4 EDM1G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2023-11-15SEA 3–4 EDM0G 1A 7S0G 1A 4S
2023-11-11SEA 1–4 EDM0G 1A 0S0G 0A 2S
2023-03-18SEA 4–6 EDM1G 0A 1S0G 3A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TolvanenEkholm

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Eeli Tolvanen

4games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.3 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Mattias Ekholm

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Eeli Tolvanen or Mattias Ekholm in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Eeli Tolvanen projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43. Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Ekholm had 41 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Eeli Tolvanen or Mattias Ekholm?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mattias Ekholm leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tolvanen and Ekholm done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Tolvanen's team went 1–11. Tolvanen had 7 points (5 goals) and Ekholm had 12 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →