Who to start · 2025-26
Eeli Tolvanen vs Mikko Rantanen
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71.
Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Rantanen had 77 in 64 games.
This week Tolvanen has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Rantanen has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Rantanen for 1.6 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.3.
Mikko Rantanen has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Tolvanen's biggest edges: Hits 187, Blocked shots 81, Transition attempts /60 1.47.
Rantanen's biggest edges: Expected goals 54.4%, Sequence xG 54.3%, Offensive-zone start % 63.2%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Eeli Tolvanen
1.71
fantasy points per game
Mikko Rantanen
2.21
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mikko Rantanen has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tolvanen | Rantanen |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.48 | 0.64 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.26 | 0.81 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.07 | 0.25 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.24 | 0.08 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.49 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tolvanen vs Rantanen
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tolvanen 4G 5A, 53 SOG · Rantanen 18G 14A, 79 SOG
Tolvanen blocked 2 of Rantanen's shots; Rantanen blocked 0 of Tolvanen's.
On the ice against each other (Tolvanen's side)
9:07 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tolvanen's side
- Shot attempts
- 11–7
- 61.1%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.4
- 47.9%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tolvanen | Rantanen |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-26 | SEA 2–3 DAL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-09 | SEA 1–2 DAL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 6S |
| 2025-03-31 | SEA 1–3 DAL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-29 | SEA 1–5 DAL | 1G 0A 1S | 1G 2A 4S |
| 2024-12-22 | SEA 2–5 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2024-11-05 | SEA 3–6 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 2G 0A 3S |
| 2024-10-22 | SEA 2–3 COL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-11-13 | SEA 1–5 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2023-11-09 | SEA 4–3 COL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-10-17 | SEA 1–4 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2023-04-30 · PO | SEA 2–1 COL | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2023-04-28 · PO | SEA 1–4 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 6S |
Latest 12 of 26 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Eeli Tolvanen
4games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOSOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBLOpp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BOpp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.3 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Mikko Rantanen
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B1.6 ptsOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Eeli Tolvanen or Mikko Rantanen in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71. Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Rantanen had 77 in 64 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Eeli Tolvanen or Mikko Rantanen?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Mikko Rantanen leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tolvanen and Rantanen done against each other?
- In 26 games against each other in our data, Tolvanen's team went 8–18. Tolvanen had 9 points (4 goals) and Rantanen had 32 (18 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →