Who to start · 2025-26
Eeli Tolvanen vs Noah Dobson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71.
Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Dobson had 47 in 80 games.
This week Tolvanen has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Dobson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Dobson for 1.6 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.3.
Noah Dobson has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Tolvanen's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.010, Hits 187, Hardest shot 92.8.
Dobson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Goals above expected +1.4, Forecheck xG /60 0.38.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Eeli Tolvanen
1.71
fantasy points per game
Noah Dobson
2.17
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Noah Dobson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tolvanen | Dobson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.48 | 0.28 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.26 | 0.41 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.24 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.49 | 1.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tolvanen vs Dobson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tolvanen 2G 2A, 28 SOG · Dobson 3G 5A, 33 SOG
Tolvanen blocked 0 of Dobson's shots; Dobson blocked 2 of Tolvanen's.
On the ice against each other (Tolvanen's side)
7:49 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tolvanen's side
- Shot attempts
- 4–11
- 26.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.3
- 46.3%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tolvanen | Dobson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | SEA 3–4 MTL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2025-10-14 | SEA 4–5 MTL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-12-05 | SEA 5–2 NYI | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2024-11-16 | SEA 3–2 NYI | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-02-13 | SEA 2–1 NYI | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2023-11-16 | SEA 4–3 NYI | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2023-02-07 | SEA 0–4 NYI | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-01-01 | SEA 4–1 NYI | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2022-11-17 | NSH 5–4 NYI | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-12-09 | NSH 4–3 NYI | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2021-10-30 | NSH 3–2 NYI | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 5S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Eeli Tolvanen
4games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOSOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBLOpp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BOpp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.3 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Noah Dobson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ TOROpp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 ptsOpp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Eeli Tolvanen or Noah Dobson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71. Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Dobson had 47 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Eeli Tolvanen or Noah Dobson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Noah Dobson leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tolvanen and Dobson done against each other?
- In 11 games against each other in our data, Tolvanen's team went 8–3. Tolvanen had 4 points (2 goals) and Dobson had 8 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →