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Who to start · 2025-26

Eeli Tolvanen vs Pavel Dorofeyev

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Pavel Dorofeyev projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71.

Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Dorofeyev had 64 in 82 games.

This week Tolvanen has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Dorofeyev has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Dorofeyev for 1.4 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.3.

Pavel Dorofeyev has the better number in 28 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tolvanen's biggest edges: Hits 187, Blocked shots 81, Ascension score 57.

Dorofeyev's biggest edges: High-danger chances 59.2%, Scoring chances 57.0%, Corsi 56.0%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 12 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Eeli Tolvanen

1.71

fantasy points per game

Pavel Dorofeyev

1.90

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Pavel Dorofeyev has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTolvanenDorofeyev
Goals (+2)0.480.86
Assists (+1)0.260.33
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.18
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.170.30
Hits (+0.1)0.240.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.490.20

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tolvanen vs Dorofeyev

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TolvanenDorofeyev
3Team record in 10 meetings7
2Points in those games3

Tolvanen 1G 1A, 18 SOG · Dorofeyev 3G 0A, 17 SOG

3Hits on each other0
1Shots blocked by the other0

Tolvanen blocked 1 of Dorofeyev's shots; Dorofeyev blocked 0 of Tolvanen's.

On the ice against each other (Tolvanen's side)

11:20 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Tolvanen's side

Shot attempts
9–9
50.0%
Expected goals
0.6–0.1
82.2%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Eeli Tolvanen and Pavel Dorofeyev
DateScoreTolvanenDorofeyev
2026-04-15SEA 1–4 VGK0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2026-01-31SEA 3–2 VGK1G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-10-11SEA 2–1 VGK0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2025-04-10SEA 1–2 VGK0G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2024-12-21SEA 2–6 VGK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-11-08SEA 4–3 VGK0G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2024-03-21SEA 1–3 VGK0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2024-03-12SEA 4–5 VGK0G 1A 2S1G 0A 2S
2023-04-13SEA 1–3 VGK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-04-11SEA 1–4 VGK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TolvanenDorofeyev

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Eeli Tolvanen

4games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.3 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Pavel Dorofeyev

4games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.4 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Eeli Tolvanen or Pavel Dorofeyev in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Pavel Dorofeyev projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71. Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Dorofeyev had 64 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Eeli Tolvanen or Pavel Dorofeyev?
On 2025-26 numbers, Pavel Dorofeyev leads in 28 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tolvanen and Dorofeyev done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Tolvanen's team went 3–7. Tolvanen had 2 points (1 goals) and Dorofeyev had 3 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →