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Who to start · 2025-26

Eeli Tolvanen vs Quinn Hughes

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Quinn Hughes projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71.

Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Hughes had 76 in 74 games.

This week Tolvanen has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Hughes has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Hughes for 1.7 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.3.

Quinn Hughes has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tolvanen's biggest edges: Hits 187, Blocked shots 81, Luck Meter −24.

Hughes's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Scoring chances 53.6%, Fenwick 52.9%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Eeli Tolvanen

1.71

fantasy points per game

Quinn Hughes

2.16

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Quinn Hughes has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTolvanenHughes
Goals (+2)0.480.18
Assists (+1)0.260.94
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.22
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.170.27
Hits (+0.1)0.240.01
Blocks (+0.5)0.490.55

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tolvanen vs Hughes

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TolvanenHughes
7Team record in 11 meetings4
6Points in those games4

Tolvanen 3G 3A, 24 SOG · Hughes 1G 3A, 17 SOG

1Hits on each other0
2Shots blocked by the other0

Tolvanen blocked 2 of Hughes's shots; Hughes blocked 0 of Tolvanen's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Tolvanen's side)

12:57 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tolvanen's side

Shot attempts
9–17
34.6%
Expected goals
0.1–0.9
12.7%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Eeli Tolvanen and Quinn Hughes
DateScoreTolvanenHughes
2026-04-07SEA 2–5 MIN0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2026-01-08SEA 2–3 MIN0G 0A 3S0G 1A 4S
2025-03-01SEA 6–3 VAN2G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2024-02-22SEA 5–2 VAN0G 0A 4S0G 0A 4S
2023-11-24SEA 1–5 VAN0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2023-11-18SEA 4–3 VAN0G 1A 0S1G 0A 1S
2023-04-04SEA 5–2 VAN0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-01-25SEA 6–1 VAN1G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2022-02-01NSH 4–2 VAN0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2022-01-18NSH 1–3 VAN0G 1A 2S0G 1A 2S
2021-11-05NSH 3–2 VAN0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TolvanenHughes

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Eeli Tolvanen

4games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RW
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RW
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.3 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%

Quinn Hughes

2games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to D
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.7 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%

FAQ

Should I start Eeli Tolvanen or Quinn Hughes in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Quinn Hughes projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71. Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Hughes had 76 in 74 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Eeli Tolvanen or Quinn Hughes?
On 2025-26 numbers, Quinn Hughes leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tolvanen and Hughes done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Tolvanen's team went 7–4. Tolvanen had 6 points (3 goals) and Hughes had 4 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →