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Who to start · 2025-26

Eeli Tolvanen vs Trevor Zegras

Eeli TolvanenEeli TolvanenRangers · Right wingvsTrevor ZegrasTrevor ZegrasFlyers · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Eeli Tolvanen projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53.

Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games.

This week Tolvanen has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Zegras has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Tolvanen for 1.2 ESPN points to Zegras's 1.2.

Trevor Zegras has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tolvanen's biggest edges: Ascension score 57, Hardest shot 92.8, Hits 187.

Zegras's biggest edges: High-danger chances 56.6%, Sequence xG 55.0%, Goals above expected +2.4.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Eeli Tolvanen

1.71

fantasy points per game

Trevor Zegras

1.53

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Eeli Tolvanen has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTolvanenZegras
Goals (+2)0.480.57
Assists (+1)0.260.45
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.170.19
Hits (+0.1)0.240.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.490.15

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tolvanen vs Zegras

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TolvanenZegras
9Team record in 12 meetings3
9Points in those games9

Tolvanen 6G 3A, 22 SOG · Zegras 4G 5A, 23 SOG

2Hits on each other2

On the ice against each other (Tolvanen's side)

7:11 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tolvanen's side

Shot attempts
5–9
35.7%
Expected goals
0.2–0.3
43.0%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Eeli Tolvanen and Trevor Zegras
DateScoreTolvanenZegras
2025-12-28SEA 4–1 PHI2G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-20SEA 2–5 PHI0G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S
2025-01-28SEA 4–6 ANA1G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-11-27SEA 2–5 ANA1G 0A 3S1G 1A 3S
2024-11-25SEA 3–2 ANA0G 0A 1S1G 0A 4S
2024-04-05SEA 3–1 ANA0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2024-03-28SEA 4–2 ANA0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-03-26SEA 4–0 ANA1G 2A 4S0G 0A 0S
2023-12-23SEA 3–2 ANA0G 0A 0S1G 0A 5S
2023-03-07SEA 5–2 ANA1G 0A 3S1G 0A 3S
2022-03-21NSH 6–3 ANA0G 0A 0S0G 2A 1S
2021-11-22NSH 3–2 ANA0G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TolvanenZegras

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Eeli Tolvanen

4games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.2 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Trevor Zegras

3games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.2 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +12.9 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Eeli Tolvanen or Trevor Zegras in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Eeli Tolvanen projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53. Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Eeli Tolvanen or Trevor Zegras?
On 2025-26 numbers, Trevor Zegras leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tolvanen and Zegras done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Tolvanen's team went 9–3. Tolvanen had 9 points (6 goals) and Zegras had 9 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →