Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Elias Pettersson vs Justin Faulk

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Elias Pettersson projects to 2.34 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Justin Faulk's 1.81.

Pettersson had 51 points in 74 games; Faulk had 40 in 78 games.

This week Pettersson has 2 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; Faulk has 1 left. We project Pettersson for 3.8 ESPN points to Faulk's 1.5.

Justin Faulk has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Pettersson's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.60, Forecheck xG /60 0.27, Ascension score 57.

Faulk's biggest edges: Luck Meter +78, Goals above expected +7.6, Transition attempts /60 0.52.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 2 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Elias Pettersson

2.34

fantasy points per game

Justin Faulk

1.81

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Elias Pettersson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromPetterssonFaulk
Goals (+2)0.590.38
Assists (+1)0.550.29
Power-play points (+0.5)0.190.05
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.18
Hits (+0.1)0.130.10
Blocks (+0.5)0.700.79

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Pettersson vs Faulk

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

PetterssonFaulk
6Team record in 16 meetings10
19Points in those games8

Pettersson 4G 15A, 42 SOG · Faulk 2G 6A, 30 SOG

1Hits on each other6
2Shots blocked by the other1

Pettersson blocked 2 of Faulk's shots; Faulk blocked 1 of Pettersson's.

On the ice against each other (Pettersson's side)

6:51 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Pettersson's side

Shot attempts
4–7
36.4%
Expected goals
0.4–0.5
42.6%
Goals
0–2

Games against each other

Games between Elias Pettersson and Justin Faulk
DateScorePetterssonFaulk
2025-10-30VAN 4–3 STL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2025-10-13VAN 2–5 STL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-20VAN 3–4 STL0G 2A 0S0G 0A 0S
2025-01-27VAN 5–2 STL0G 1A 7S0G 1A 2S
2024-12-10VAN 3–4 STL1G 1A 5S0G 1A 2S
2023-10-27VAN 5–0 STL0G 2A 0S0G 0A 2S
2023-03-28VAN 5–6 STL0G 2A 2S1G 2A 3S
2023-02-23VAN 3–2 STL1G 2A 10S0G 0A 3S
2022-03-30VAN 3–4 STL2G 0A 3S0G 1A 3S
2022-03-28VAN 1–4 STL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2022-01-23VAN 1–3 STL0G 1A 0S1G 1A 1S
2020-01-27VAN 3–1 STL0G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

PetterssonFaulk

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Elias Pettersson

4games (2 left)

3.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ EDM
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs EDM
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY2.3 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)

Justin Faulk

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG1.5 pts
    Likely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Elias Pettersson or Justin Faulk in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Elias Pettersson projects to 2.34 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Justin Faulk's 1.81. Pettersson had 51 points in 74 games; Faulk had 40 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Elias Pettersson or Justin Faulk?
On 2025-26 numbers, Justin Faulk leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Pettersson and Faulk done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Pettersson's team went 6–10. Pettersson had 19 points (4 goals) and Faulk had 8 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →