Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Elias Pettersson vs Mathew Barzal

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Elias Pettersson projects to 2.34 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mathew Barzal's 1.82.

Pettersson had 51 points in 74 games; Barzal had 72 in 81 games.

This week Pettersson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Barzal has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Pettersson for 3.8 ESPN points to Barzal's 1.4.

Mathew Barzal has the better number in 23 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.

Pettersson's biggest edges: Hardest shot 91.8, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.60, Hits 67.

Barzal's biggest edges: Plus/minus +10, Corsi 51.6%, Fenwick 51.7%.

Head to head on the dot, Pettersson leads Barzal 7–7.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 2 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Elias Pettersson

2.05

fantasy points per game

Mathew Barzal

1.82

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Elias Pettersson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromPetterssonBarzal
Goals (+2)0.410.47
Assists (+1)0.490.65
Power-play points (+0.5)0.150.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.23
Hits (+0.1)0.090.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.730.31

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Pettersson vs Barzal

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

PetterssonBarzal
5Team record in 10 meetings5
8Points in those games17

Pettersson 4G 4A, 29 SOG · Barzal 3G 14A, 31 SOG

7Faceoffs against each other7

Pettersson's offensive zone 2–2 · neutral 5–4 · Pettersson's defensive zone 0–1 (2018-19 to 2025-26)

2Hits on each other0
1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Pettersson's side)

8:28 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Pettersson's side

Shot attempts
12–7
63.2%
Expected goals
1.0–0.3
78.4%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Elias Pettersson and Mathew Barzal
DateScorePetterssonBarzal
2026-01-19VAN 3–4 NYI0G 0A 4S0G 2A 0S
2024-01-09VAN 5–2 NYI1G 0A 4S0G 1A 4S
2023-11-15VAN 4–3 NYI0G 1A 2S0G 2A 6S
2023-02-09VAN 6–5 NYI2G 1A 3S1G 2A 1S
2023-01-03VAN 2–6 NYI0G 0A 3S1G 2A 1S
2022-02-09VAN 3–6 NYI1G 0A 4S1G 0A 4S
2020-03-10VAN 5–4 NYI0G 1A 3S0G 1A 7S
2020-02-01VAN 4–3 NYI0G 1A 0S0G 1A 4S
2019-02-23VAN 0–4 NYI0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2018-11-13VAN 2–5 NYI0G 0A 4S0G 2A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

PetterssonBarzal

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Elias Pettersson

4games (2 left)

3.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ EDM
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs EDM
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY2.3 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CSchedule edge −3.4 win%Likely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)

Mathew Barzal

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Nico Daws (.908)

FAQ

Should I start Elias Pettersson or Mathew Barzal in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Elias Pettersson projects to 2.34 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mathew Barzal's 1.82. Pettersson had 51 points in 74 games; Barzal had 72 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Elias Pettersson or Mathew Barzal?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mathew Barzal leads in 23 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Pettersson and Barzal done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Pettersson's team went 5–5. Pettersson had 8 points (4 goals) and Barzal had 17 (3 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Pettersson or Barzal?
Against each other, Pettersson has won 7 and Barzal 7 of their 14 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →