Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Elias Pettersson vs Mattias Samuelsson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Elias Pettersson projects to 2.34 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01.

Pettersson had 51 points in 74 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games.

This week Pettersson has 2 games left; Samuelsson has 1 left. We project Pettersson for 3.8 ESPN points to Samuelsson's 1.7.

Mattias Samuelsson has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Pettersson's biggest edges: Power-play share 72.8%, Power-play time per game 3:05, Offensive-zone time 42.8%.

Samuelsson's biggest edges: Plus/minus +41, Luck Meter +79, Goals above expected +4.6.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 2 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Elias Pettersson

2.34

fantasy points per game

Mattias Samuelsson

2.01

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Elias Pettersson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromPetterssonSamuelsson
Goals (+2)0.590.44
Assists (+1)0.550.34
Power-play points (+0.5)0.190.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.14
Hits (+0.1)0.130.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.700.93

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Pettersson vs Samuelsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

PetterssonSamuelsson
1Team record in 5 meetings4
2Points in those games1

Pettersson 2G 0A, 16 SOG · Samuelsson 0G 1A, 3 SOG

On the ice against each other (Pettersson's side)

5:58 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Pettersson's side

Shot attempts
5–5
50.0%
Expected goals
0.3–0.3
44.8%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Elias Pettersson and Mattias Samuelsson
DateScorePetterssonSamuelsson
2026-01-06VAN 3–5 BUF1G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2025-01-21VAN 2–3 BUF1G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2024-01-13VAN 1–0 BUF0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2022-10-22VAN 1–5 BUF0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2022-03-20VAN 2–3 BUF0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

PetterssonSamuelsson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Elias Pettersson

4games (2 left)

3.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ EDM
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs EDM
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY1.9 pts
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.9 pts
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%

Mattias Samuelsson

2games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI1.7 pts

FAQ

Should I start Elias Pettersson or Mattias Samuelsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Elias Pettersson projects to 2.34 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01. Pettersson had 51 points in 74 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Elias Pettersson or Mattias Samuelsson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mattias Samuelsson leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Pettersson and Samuelsson done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Pettersson's team went 1–4. Pettersson had 2 points (2 goals) and Samuelsson had 1 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →