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Who to start · 2025-26

Emil Heineman vs Erik Karlsson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Erik Karlsson projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Emil Heineman's 1.57.

Heineman had 31 points in 82 games; Karlsson had 66 in 75 games.

This week Heineman has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Karlsson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Karlsson for 1.3 ESPN points to Heineman's 1.2.

Erik Karlsson has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Heineman's biggest edges: Hits 247, Blocked shots 54, Hardest shot 97.3.

Karlsson's biggest edges: High-danger chances 53.6%, Luck Meter +54, Faceoffs won 0.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Emil Heineman

1.57

fantasy points per game

Erik Karlsson

1.96

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Erik Karlsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHeinemanKarlsson
Goals (+2)0.630.38
Assists (+1)0.100.70
Power-play points (+0.5)0.020.19
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.210.24
Hits (+0.1)0.300.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.310.43

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Heineman vs Karlsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HeinemanKarlsson
1Team record in 6 meetings5
3Points in those games3

Heineman 1G 2A, 2 SOG · Karlsson 0G 3A, 18 SOG

1Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (Heineman's side)

21:09 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Heineman's side

Shot attempts
24–20
54.5%
Expected goals
1.1–0.8
57.3%
Goals
1–2

Games against each other

Games between Emil Heineman and Erik Karlsson
DateScoreHeinemanKarlsson
2026-03-30NYI 3–8 PIT0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2026-02-03NYI 5–4 PIT0G 0A 0S0G 1A 3S
2025-10-09NYI 3–4 PIT0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2024-12-12MTL 2–9 PIT0G 1A 0S0G 0A 4S
2024-11-02MTL 1–3 PIT0G 1A 0S0G 1A 4S
2024-10-14MTL 3–6 PIT1G 0A 2S0G 1A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HeinemanKarlsson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Emil Heineman

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD1.2 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jake Allen (.904)

Erik Karlsson

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ PHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to DLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL1.3 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)

FAQ

Should I start Emil Heineman or Erik Karlsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Erik Karlsson projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Emil Heineman's 1.57. Heineman had 31 points in 82 games; Karlsson had 66 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Emil Heineman or Erik Karlsson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Erik Karlsson leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Heineman and Karlsson done against each other?
In 6 games against each other in our data, Heineman's team went 1–5. Heineman had 3 points (1 goals) and Karlsson had 3 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →