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Who to start · 2025-26

Erik Karlsson vs Jacob Trouba

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Erik Karlsson projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jacob Trouba's 1.82.

Karlsson had 66 points in 75 games; Trouba had 35 in 81 games.

This week Karlsson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Trouba has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Trouba for 2.2 ESPN points to Karlsson's 1.3.

Erik Karlsson has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Karlsson's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.7, 20+ mph bursts 153, On-ice PDO 1017.

Trouba's biggest edges: Hits 143, Blocked shots 149, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.052.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Erik Karlsson

1.96

fantasy points per game

Jacob Trouba

1.82

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Erik Karlsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKarlssonTrouba
Goals (+2)0.380.23
Assists (+1)0.700.29
Power-play points (+0.5)0.190.01
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.240.20
Hits (+0.1)0.030.18
Blocks (+0.5)0.430.89

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Karlsson vs Trouba

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KarlssonTrouba
2Team record in 14 meetings12
8Points in those games7

Karlsson 1G 7A, 29 SOG · Trouba 0G 7A, 29 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other1

Karlsson blocked 1 of Trouba's shots; Trouba blocked 1 of Karlsson's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Karlsson's side)

14:24 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Karlsson's side

Shot attempts
14–14
50.0%
Expected goals
1.0–0.6
62.4%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Erik Karlsson and Jacob Trouba
DateScoreKarlssonTrouba
2025-12-09PIT 3–4 ANA0G 2A 5S0G 0A 0S
2025-10-14PIT 3–4 ANA0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-01-23PIT 1–5 ANA0G 0A 4S0G 2A 2S
2024-10-09PIT 0–6 NYR0G 0A 0S0G 2A 4S
2024-04-01PIT 5–2 NYR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 4S
2023-11-22PIT 0–1 NYR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2022-11-19SJS 1–2 NYR0G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2022-10-20SJS 3–2 NYR1G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S
2022-01-13SJS 0–3 NYR0G 0A 5S0G 0A 3S
2021-12-03SJS 0–1 NYR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2019-12-12SJS 3–6 NYR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2018-12-20SJS 3–5 WPG0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KarlssonTrouba

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Erik Karlsson

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ PHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to DLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL1.3 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to Dvs Jakub Dobes (.901)

Jacob Trouba

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK2.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to DSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

FAQ

Should I start Erik Karlsson or Jacob Trouba in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Erik Karlsson projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jacob Trouba's 1.82. Karlsson had 66 points in 75 games; Trouba had 35 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Erik Karlsson or Jacob Trouba?
On 2025-26 numbers, Erik Karlsson leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Karlsson and Trouba done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Karlsson's team went 2–12. Karlsson had 8 points (1 goals) and Trouba had 7 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →