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Who to start · 2025-26

Erik Karlsson vs Kiefer Sherwood

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Erik Karlsson projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kiefer Sherwood's 1.77.

Karlsson had 66 points in 75 games; Sherwood had 36 in 72 games.

This week Karlsson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Sherwood has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Sherwood for 1.8 ESPN points to Karlsson's 1.3.

Erik Karlsson has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Karlsson's biggest edges: Plus/minus +8, Luck Meter +53, On-ice PDO 1017.

Sherwood's biggest edges: Hits 339, Penalty minutes 50, Blocked shots 30.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Erik Karlsson

1.96

fantasy points per game

Kiefer Sherwood

1.77

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Erik Karlsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKarlssonSherwood
Goals (+2)0.380.60
Assists (+1)0.700.17
Power-play points (+0.5)0.190.08
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.240.23
Hits (+0.1)0.030.49
Blocks (+0.5)0.430.20

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Karlsson vs Sherwood

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KarlssonSherwood
4Team record in 16 meetings12
8Points in those games5

Karlsson 1G 7A, 31 SOG · Sherwood 2G 3A, 18 SOG

0Hits on each other4
2Shots blocked by the other1

Karlsson blocked 2 of Sherwood's shots; Sherwood blocked 1 of Karlsson's.

On the ice against each other (Karlsson's side)

4:34 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Karlsson's side

Shot attempts
2–2
50.0%
Expected goals
0.3–0.0
92.4%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Erik Karlsson and Kiefer Sherwood
DateScoreKarlssonSherwood
2025-10-21PIT 5–1 VAN0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-11-27PIT 5–4 VAN0G 3A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-10-26PIT 3–4 VAN0G 0A 3S1G 0A 2S
2024-04-15PIT 4–2 NSH1G 1A 7S0G 0A 2S
2023-11-28PIT 2–3 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2023-02-23SJS 2–6 NSH0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2022-10-08SJS 2–3 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2022-10-07SJS 1–4 NSH0G 0A 1S1G 1A 1S
2021-11-13SJS 2–6 COL0G 1A 0S0G 0A 0S
2021-05-03SJS 4–5 COL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2021-05-01SJS 3–4 COL0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2021-04-30SJS 0–3 COL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KarlssonSherwood

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Erik Karlsson

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ PHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to DLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL1.3 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to Dvs Jakub Dobes (.901)

Kiefer Sherwood

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.8 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to LWSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

FAQ

Should I start Erik Karlsson or Kiefer Sherwood in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Erik Karlsson projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kiefer Sherwood's 1.77. Karlsson had 66 points in 75 games; Sherwood had 36 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Erik Karlsson or Kiefer Sherwood?
On 2025-26 numbers, Erik Karlsson leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Karlsson and Sherwood done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Karlsson's team went 4–12. Karlsson had 8 points (1 goals) and Sherwood had 5 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →