Who to start · 2025-26
Erik Karlsson vs Mario Ferraro
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Erik Karlsson projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71.
Karlsson had 66 points in 75 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games.
This week Karlsson has 1 game left; Ferraro has 1 left. We project Karlsson for 1.9 ESPN points to Ferraro's 1.6.
Erik Karlsson has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Karlsson's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.4%, Top skating speed 23.7, Corsi 54.0%.
Ferraro's biggest edges: Hits 137, Blocked shots 150, Penalty minutes 35.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Erik Karlsson
1.96
fantasy points per game
Mario Ferraro
1.71
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Erik Karlsson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Karlsson | Ferraro |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.70 | 0.18 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.00 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.24 | 0.13 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.16 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.43 | 0.95 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Karlsson vs Ferraro
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Karlsson 0G 6A, 13 SOG · Ferraro 0G 0A, 11 SOG
Karlsson blocked 1 of Ferraro's shots; Ferraro blocked 0 of Karlsson's.
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice against each other (Karlsson's side)
12:30 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Karlsson's side
- Shot attempts
- 12–13
- 48.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.5
- 27.2%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Karlsson | Ferraro |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | PIT 5–6 SJS | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-10-18 | PIT 3–0 SJS | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-01-27 | PIT 1–2 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-11-16 | PIT 4–3 SJS | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-03-14 | PIT 6–3 SJS | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 6S |
| 2023-11-04 | PIT 10–2 SJS | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Erik Karlsson
2games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Wed, Sep 30 @ PHI
- Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL1.9 pts
Mario Ferraro
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.6 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Erik Karlsson or Mario Ferraro in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Erik Karlsson projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71. Karlsson had 66 points in 75 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Erik Karlsson or Mario Ferraro?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Erik Karlsson leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Karlsson and Ferraro done against each other?
- In 6 games against each other in our data, Karlsson's team went 4–2. Karlsson had 6 points (0 goals) and Ferraro had 0 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →