Who to start · 2025-26
Erik Karlsson vs Mikhail Sergachev
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikhail Sergachev projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Erik Karlsson's 1.96.
Karlsson had 66 points in 75 games; Sergachev had 59 in 78 games.
This week Karlsson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Sergachev has 2 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Sergachev for 3.0 ESPN points to Karlsson's 1.3.
Erik Karlsson has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Karlsson's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1017, High-danger chances 53.6%, Net penalties drawn /60 0.00.
Sergachev's biggest edges: Blocked shots 125, Penalty minutes 44, Hits 38.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Erik Karlsson
1.96
fantasy points per game
Mikhail Sergachev
2.15
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mikhail Sergachev has the edge.
| Points per game from | Karlsson | Sergachev |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.38 | 0.24 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.70 | 0.65 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.43 | 0.81 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Karlsson vs Sergachev
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Karlsson 5G 15A, 32 SOG · Sergachev 3G 5A, 24 SOG
Karlsson blocked 2 of Sergachev's shots; Sergachev blocked 0 of Karlsson's.
On the ice against each other (Karlsson's side)
18:19 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Karlsson's side
- Shot attempts
- 7–29
- 19.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–1.2
- 18.9%
- Goals
- 2–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Karlsson | Sergachev |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | PIT 4–3 UTA | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-12-14 | PIT 4–5 UTA | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-01-29 | PIT 3–2 UTA | 1G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-11-23 | PIT 1–6 UTA | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2023-12-06 | PIT 1–3 TBL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-11-30 | PIT 4–2 TBL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2023-02-07 | SJS 4–3 TBL | 1G 2A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-10-29 | SJS 3–4 TBL | 2G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2020-02-01 | SJS 0–3 TBL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2019-12-07 | SJS 1–7 TBL | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2019-01-05 | SJS 5–2 TBL | 0G 2A 1S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2018-03-13 | OTT 7–4 TBL | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 15 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Erik Karlsson
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 @ PHIOpp allows 2nd-most FP to DLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL1.3 ptsOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
Mikhail Sergachev
3games (2 left)
3.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs CHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.5 ptsOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Erik Karlsson or Mikhail Sergachev in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikhail Sergachev projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Erik Karlsson's 1.96. Karlsson had 66 points in 75 games; Sergachev had 59 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Erik Karlsson or Mikhail Sergachev?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Erik Karlsson leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Karlsson and Sergachev done against each other?
- In 15 games against each other in our data, Karlsson's team went 7–8. Karlsson had 20 points (5 goals) and Sergachev had 8 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →