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Who to start · 2025-26

Erik Karlsson vs Owen Tippett

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Erik Karlsson projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Owen Tippett's 1.73.

Karlsson had 66 points in 75 games; Tippett had 51 in 81 games.

This week Karlsson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Tippett has 1 left. We project Tippett for 2.0 ESPN points to Karlsson's 1.3.

Erik Karlsson has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Karlsson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Goals above expected +2.1, Offensive-zone start % 52.8%.

Tippett's biggest edges: Hits 166, Blocked shots 50, Transition attempts /60 2.54.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Erik Karlsson

1.96

fantasy points per game

Owen Tippett

1.73

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Erik Karlsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKarlssonTippett
Goals (+2)0.380.61
Assists (+1)0.700.25
Power-play points (+0.5)0.190.04
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.240.27
Hits (+0.1)0.030.24
Blocks (+0.5)0.430.30

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Karlsson vs Tippett

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KarlssonTippett
8Team record in 18 meetings10
17Points in those games11

Karlsson 5G 12A, 41 SOG · Tippett 7G 4A, 42 SOG

0Hits on each other6
7Shots blocked by the other3

Karlsson blocked 7 of Tippett's shots; Tippett blocked 3 of Karlsson's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Karlsson's side)

59:27 at 5-on-5 over 10 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Karlsson's side

Shot attempts
63–51
55.3%
Expected goals
2.1–2.0
51.2%
Goals
3–1

Games against each other

Games between Erik Karlsson and Owen Tippett
DateScoreKarlssonTippett
2026-09-30PIT 7–0 PHI0G 1A 3S0G 0A 4S
2026-04-29 · POPIT 0–1 PHI0G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2026-04-27 · POPIT 3–2 PHI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2026-04-25 · POPIT 4–2 PHI0G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S
2026-04-22 · POPIT 2–5 PHI1G 0A 2S1G 0A 1S
2026-04-20 · POPIT 0–3 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2026-04-18 · POPIT 2–3 PHI0G 1A 3S0G 0A 3S
2026-03-07PIT 3–4 PHI1G 0A 1S1G 0A 1S
2025-12-01PIT 5–1 PHI0G 2A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-10-28PIT 2–3 PHI0G 0A 5S0G 0A 3S
2025-02-27PIT 5–4 PHI2G 1A 4S1G 1A 4S
2025-02-25PIT 1–6 PHI0G 0A 2S1G 0A 4S

Latest 12 of 18 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KarlssonTippett

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Erik Karlsson

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ PHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to DLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL1.3 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to Dvs Jakub Dobes (.901)

Owen Tippett

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to RWLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR2.0 pts
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Erik Karlsson or Owen Tippett in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Erik Karlsson projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Owen Tippett's 1.73. Karlsson had 66 points in 75 games; Tippett had 51 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Erik Karlsson or Owen Tippett?
On 2025-26 numbers, Erik Karlsson leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Karlsson and Tippett done against each other?
In 18 games against each other in our data, Karlsson's team went 8–10. Karlsson had 17 points (5 goals) and Tippett had 11 (7 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →