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Who to start · 2025-26

Erik Karlsson vs Pavel Dorofeyev

Erik KarlssonErik KarlssonPenguins · DefencevsPavel DorofeyevPavel DorofeyevRangers · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Erik Karlsson projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Dorofeyev's 1.90.

Karlsson had 66 points in 75 games; Dorofeyev had 64 in 82 games.

This week Karlsson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Dorofeyev has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Dorofeyev for 1.4 ESPN points to Karlsson's 1.3.

Pavel Dorofeyev has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Karlsson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, 20+ mph bursts 153, Net penalties drawn /60 0.00.

Dorofeyev's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.034, Ascension score 53, Transition attempts /60 1.65.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 12 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Erik Karlsson

1.96

fantasy points per game

Pavel Dorofeyev

1.90

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Erik Karlsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKarlssonDorofeyev
Goals (+2)0.380.86
Assists (+1)0.700.33
Power-play points (+0.5)0.190.18
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.240.30
Hits (+0.1)0.030.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.430.20

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Karlsson vs Dorofeyev

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KarlssonDorofeyev
3Team record in 6 meetings3
4Points in those games6

Karlsson 1G 3A, 10 SOG · Dorofeyev 4G 2A, 23 SOG

On the ice against each other (Karlsson's side)

9:36 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Karlsson's side

Shot attempts
7–12
36.8%
Expected goals
0.2–0.7
18.6%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Erik Karlsson and Pavel Dorofeyev
DateScoreKarlssonDorofeyev
2026-03-12PIT 2–6 VGK0G 0A 4S2G 1A 3S
2026-03-01PIT 5–0 VGK0G 2A 1S0G 0A 3S
2025-03-11PIT 3–2 VGK1G 0A 3S1G 1A 6S
2025-03-07PIT 0–4 VGK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 5S
2024-01-20PIT 2–3 VGK0G 1A 1S1G 0A 4S
2023-03-30SJS 4–3 VGK0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KarlssonDorofeyev

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Erik Karlsson

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ PHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to DLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL1.3 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to Dvs Jakub Dobes (.901)

Pavel Dorofeyev

4games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.4 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Erik Karlsson or Pavel Dorofeyev in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Erik Karlsson projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Dorofeyev's 1.90. Karlsson had 66 points in 75 games; Dorofeyev had 64 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Erik Karlsson or Pavel Dorofeyev?
On 2025-26 numbers, Pavel Dorofeyev leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Karlsson and Dorofeyev done against each other?
In 6 games against each other in our data, Karlsson's team went 3–3. Karlsson had 4 points (1 goals) and Dorofeyev had 6 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →