Who to start · 2025-26
Erik Karlsson vs Timo Meier
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Erik Karlsson projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Timo Meier's 1.74.
Karlsson had 66 points in 75 games; Meier had 44 in 77 games.
This week Karlsson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Meier has 1 left. We project Meier for 1.9 ESPN points to Karlsson's 1.3.
Erik Karlsson has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Karlsson's biggest edges: Luck Meter +53, Goals above expected +2.1, On-ice PDO 1017.
Meier's biggest edges: Hits 131, Blocked shots 53, Transition attempts /60 2.14.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Erik Karlsson
1.96
fantasy points per game
Timo Meier
1.74
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Erik Karlsson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Karlsson | Meier |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.38 | 0.58 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.70 | 0.24 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.06 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.17 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.43 | 0.32 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Karlsson vs Meier
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Karlsson 4G 5A, 27 SOG · Meier 5G 1A, 51 SOG
Karlsson blocked 0 of Meier's shots; Meier blocked 2 of Karlsson's.
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice against each other (Karlsson's side)
23:12 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Karlsson's side
- Shot attempts
- 19–23
- 45.2%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.9
- 26.8%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Karlsson | Meier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | PIT 5–2 NJD | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2026-02-26 | PIT 4–1 NJD | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2026-01-08 | PIT 4–1 NJD | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-11-08 | PIT 1–2 NJD | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 6S |
| 2025-04-11 | PIT 4–2 NJD | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-03-15 | PIT 7–3 NJD | 1G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2025-02-04 | PIT 2–3 NJD | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-12-21 | PIT 0–3 NJD | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2024-04-02 | PIT 6–3 NJD | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2024-03-19 | PIT 2–5 NJD | 0G 0A 5S | 2G 0A 8S |
| 2018-01-05 | OTT 6–5 SJS | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2017-12-09 | OTT 0–5 SJS | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 7S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Erik Karlsson
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 @ PHIOpp allows 2nd-most FP to DLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL1.3 ptsOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to Dvs Jakub Dobes (.901)
Timo Meier
2games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs PHIOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.9 ptsOpp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Erik Karlsson or Timo Meier in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Erik Karlsson projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Timo Meier's 1.74. Karlsson had 66 points in 75 games; Meier had 44 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Erik Karlsson or Timo Meier?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Erik Karlsson leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Karlsson and Meier done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, Karlsson's team went 7–5. Karlsson had 9 points (4 goals) and Meier had 6 (5 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →