Who to start · 2025-26
Erik Karlsson vs Trevor Zegras
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Erik Karlsson projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53.
Karlsson had 66 points in 75 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games.
This week Karlsson has 1 game left; Zegras has 1 left. We project Karlsson for 1.9 ESPN points to Zegras's 1.7.
Erik Karlsson has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Karlsson's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.7, Net penalties drawn /60 0.00, Hardest shot 96.6.
Zegras's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 62, Transition attempts /60 1.69, Hits 46.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Erik Karlsson
1.96
fantasy points per game
Trevor Zegras
1.53
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Erik Karlsson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Karlsson | Zegras |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.38 | 0.57 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.70 | 0.45 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.13 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.43 | 0.15 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Karlsson vs Zegras
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Karlsson 8G 12A, 61 SOG · Zegras 3G 11A, 38 SOG
Karlsson blocked 1 of Zegras's shots; Zegras blocked 1 of Karlsson's.
On the ice against each other (Karlsson's side)
53:50 at 5-on-5 over 10 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Karlsson's side
- Shot attempts
- 66–43
- 60.6%
- Expected goals
- 3.0–1.8
- 62.3%
- Goals
- 2–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Karlsson | Zegras |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | PIT 7–0 PHI | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-04-29 · PO | PIT 0–1 PHI | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2026-04-27 · PO | PIT 3–2 PHI | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2026-04-25 · PO | PIT 4–2 PHI | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2026-04-22 · PO | PIT 2–5 PHI | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2026-04-20 · PO | PIT 0–3 PHI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2026-04-18 · PO | PIT 2–3 PHI | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2026-03-07 | PIT 3–4 PHI | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-12-01 | PIT 5–1 PHI | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 1A 6S |
| 2025-10-28 | PIT 2–3 PHI | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-01-23 | PIT 1–5 ANA | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-10-31 | PIT 2–1 ANA | 0G 1A 6S | 0G 1A 3S |
Latest 12 of 20 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Erik Karlsson
2games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Wed, Sep 30 @ PHI
- Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL1.9 pts
Trevor Zegras
3games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2BSchedule edge −9.3 win%
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.7 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Erik Karlsson or Trevor Zegras in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Erik Karlsson projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53. Karlsson had 66 points in 75 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Erik Karlsson or Trevor Zegras?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Erik Karlsson leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Karlsson and Zegras done against each other?
- In 20 games against each other in our data, Karlsson's team went 9–11. Karlsson had 20 points (8 goals) and Zegras had 14 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →