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Who to start · 2025-26

Erik Karlsson vs Viktor Arvidsson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Erik Karlsson projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Viktor Arvidsson's 1.72.

Karlsson had 66 points in 75 games; Arvidsson had 54 in 69 games.

This week Karlsson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Arvidsson has 1 left. We project Arvidsson for 2.0 ESPN points to Karlsson's 1.3.

Erik Karlsson has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Karlsson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Forecheck xG /60 0.32, Offensive-zone start % 52.8%.

Arvidsson's biggest edges: Ascension score 54, Transition attempts /60 2.70, Blocked shots 36.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Erik Karlsson

1.96

fantasy points per game

Viktor Arvidsson

1.72

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Erik Karlsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKarlssonArvidsson
Goals (+2)0.380.68
Assists (+1)0.700.39
Power-play points (+0.5)0.190.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.240.24
Hits (+0.1)0.030.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.430.31

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Karlsson vs Arvidsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KarlssonArvidsson
6Team record in 14 meetings8
12Points in those games15

Karlsson 1G 11A, 36 SOG · Arvidsson 6G 9A, 37 SOG

2Shots blocked by the other5

Karlsson blocked 2 of Arvidsson's shots; Arvidsson blocked 5 of Karlsson's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Karlsson's side)

11:38 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Karlsson's side

Shot attempts
13–12
52.0%
Expected goals
0.7–0.9
44.7%
Goals
0–2

Games against each other

Games between Erik Karlsson and Viktor Arvidsson
DateScoreKarlssonArvidsson
2026-03-08PIT 5–4 BOS0G 2A 6S0G 2A 1S
2026-03-03PIT 1–2 BOS1G 0A 6S0G 0A 1S
2026-01-11PIT 0–1 BOS0G 0A 1S1G 0A 1S
2025-01-09PIT 5–3 EDM0G 1A 3S0G 0A 5S
2024-10-25PIT 0–4 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 3A 4S
2024-02-18PIT 1–2 LAK0G 1A 2S0G 1A 4S
2022-12-17SJS 2–3 LAK0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-11-25SJS 2–5 LAK0G 0A 2S1G 1A 2S
2022-01-17SJS 6–2 LAK0G 3A 0S0G 1A 2S
2019-11-09SJS 2–1 NSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2019-10-08SJS 2–5 NSH0G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2018-10-23SJS 5–4 NSH0G 1A 0S2G 1A 3S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KarlssonArvidsson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Erik Karlsson

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ PHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to DLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL1.3 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)

Viktor Arvidsson

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.0 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to LWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Erik Karlsson or Viktor Arvidsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Erik Karlsson projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Viktor Arvidsson's 1.72. Karlsson had 66 points in 75 games; Arvidsson had 54 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Erik Karlsson or Viktor Arvidsson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Erik Karlsson leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Karlsson and Arvidsson done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Karlsson's team went 6–8. Karlsson had 12 points (1 goals) and Arvidsson had 15 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →