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Who to start · 2025-26

Erik Karlsson vs Vincent Trocheck

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vincent Trocheck projects to 2.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Erik Karlsson's 1.96.

Karlsson had 66 points in 75 games; Trocheck had 53 in 67 games.

This week Karlsson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Trocheck has 2 left. We project Trocheck for 3.3 ESPN points to Karlsson's 1.3.

Erik Karlsson has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Karlsson's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 0.00, Expected goals 52.2%, Plus/minus +8.

Trocheck's biggest edges: Hits 193, Penalty minutes 64, Blocked shots 49.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Erik Karlsson

1.96

fantasy points per game

Vincent Trocheck

2.00

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Vincent Trocheck has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKarlssonTrocheck
Goals (+2)0.380.45
Assists (+1)0.700.58
Power-play points (+0.5)0.190.11
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.240.17
Hits (+0.1)0.030.31
Blocks (+0.5)0.430.37

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Karlsson vs Trocheck

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KarlssonTrocheck
8Team record in 17 meetings9
11Points in those games16

Karlsson 1G 10A, 33 SOG · Trocheck 4G 12A, 29 SOG

0Hits on each other1
3Shots blocked by the other1

Karlsson blocked 3 of Trocheck's shots; Trocheck blocked 1 of Karlsson's.

On the ice against each other (Karlsson's side)

18:06 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Karlsson's side

Shot attempts
14–14
50.0%
Expected goals
0.8–0.6
55.6%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Erik Karlsson and Vincent Trocheck
DateScoreKarlssonTrocheck
2026-02-28PIT 2–3 NYR0G 1A 3S0G 1A 0S
2026-01-31PIT 6–5 NYR0G 1A 3S1G 2A 1S
2025-10-07PIT 3–0 NYR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-02-23PIT 3–5 NYR0G 1A 1S0G 1A 1S
2025-02-07PIT 3–2 NYR0G 1A 1S1G 1A 1S
2024-12-06PIT 2–4 NYR0G 1A 0S1G 2A 1S
2024-10-09PIT 0–6 NYR0G 0A 0S1G 0A 3S
2024-04-01PIT 5–2 NYR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-03-16PIT 4–7 NYR0G 0A 3S0G 2A 2S
2023-11-22PIT 0–1 NYR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2022-11-19SJS 1–2 NYR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 5S
2022-10-20SJS 3–2 NYR1G 1A 1S0G 1A 3S

Latest 12 of 17 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KarlssonTrocheck

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Erik Karlsson

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ PHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to DLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL1.3 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to Dvs Jakub Dobes (.901)

Vincent Trocheck

3games (2 left)

3.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.8 pts
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Erik Karlsson or Vincent Trocheck in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vincent Trocheck projects to 2.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Erik Karlsson's 1.96. Karlsson had 66 points in 75 games; Trocheck had 53 in 67 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Erik Karlsson or Vincent Trocheck?
On 2025-26 numbers, Erik Karlsson leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Karlsson and Trocheck done against each other?
In 17 games against each other in our data, Karlsson's team went 8–9. Karlsson had 11 points (1 goals) and Trocheck had 16 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →