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Who to start · 2025-26

Evan Bouchard vs J.T. Miller

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Evan Bouchard projects to 3.14 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.

Bouchard had 95 points in 82 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games.

This week Bouchard has 1 game left; Miller has 1 left. We project Bouchard for 2.5 ESPN points to Miller's 1.8.

Evan Bouchard has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Bouchard's biggest edges: Plus/minus +25, Ascension score 68, Luck Meter +55.

Miller's biggest edges: Hits 123, Top skating speed 22.8, Penalty minutes 33.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 4 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 10 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Evan Bouchard

3.14

fantasy points per game

J.T. Miller

1.63

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Evan Bouchard has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBouchardMiller
Goals (+2)0.920.42
Assists (+1)1.030.44
Power-play points (+0.5)0.210.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.300.20
Hits (+0.1)0.040.18
Blocks (+0.5)0.630.26

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Bouchard vs Miller

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BouchardMiller
17Team record in 28 meetings11
16Points in those games29

Bouchard 5G 11A, 72 SOG · Miller 10G 19A, 55 SOG

2Hits on each other1
2Shots blocked by the other5

Bouchard blocked 2 of Miller's shots; Miller blocked 5 of Bouchard's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Bouchard's side)

13:03 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Bouchard's side

Shot attempts
15–12
55.6%
Expected goals
0.8–0.6
58.4%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Evan Bouchard and J.T. Miller
DateScoreBouchardMiller
2025-10-30EDM 3–4 NYR0G 0A 1S1G 0A 5S
2025-10-14EDM 2–0 NYR0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-16EDM 3–1 NYR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-01-23EDM 6–2 VAN0G 1A 2S0G 1A 3S
2025-01-18EDM 2–3 VAN0G 0A 1S0G 2A 1S
2024-11-09EDM 7–3 VAN0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2024-05-20 · POEDM 3–2 VAN0G 2A 3S0G 0A 1S
2024-05-18 · POEDM 5–1 VAN1G 2A 2S0G 0A 3S
2024-05-16 · POEDM 2–3 VAN0G 0A 1S1G 0A 4S
2024-05-14 · POEDM 3–2 VAN1G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2024-05-12 · POEDM 3–4 VAN1G 1A 6S0G 2A 2S
2024-05-10 · POEDM 4–3 VAN1G 0A 5S0G 2A 0S

Latest 12 of 28 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BouchardMiller

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Evan Bouchard

3games (1 left)

2.5proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.5 pts

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.8 pts

FAQ

Should I start Evan Bouchard or J.T. Miller in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Evan Bouchard projects to 3.14 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Bouchard had 95 points in 82 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Evan Bouchard or J.T. Miller?
On 2025-26 numbers, Evan Bouchard leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Bouchard and Miller done against each other?
In 28 games against each other in our data, Bouchard's team went 17–11. Bouchard had 16 points (5 goals) and Miller had 29 (10 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →