Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Evan Bouchard vs Mathew Barzal

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Evan Bouchard projects to 3.14 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mathew Barzal's 1.82.

Bouchard had 95 points in 82 games; Barzal had 72 in 81 games.

This week Bouchard has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Barzal has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Bouchard for 1.9 ESPN points to Barzal's 1.4.

Evan Bouchard has the better number in 23 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Bouchard's biggest edges: Hardest shot 98.1, High-danger chances 57.1%, Goals above expected +1.9.

Barzal's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 61, On-ice PDO 1006, Blocked shots 50.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 4 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 10 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Evan Bouchard

2.55

fantasy points per game

Mathew Barzal

1.82

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Evan Bouchard has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBouchardBarzal
Goals (+2)0.510.47
Assists (+1)0.900.65
Power-play points (+0.5)0.200.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.270.23
Hits (+0.1)0.040.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.620.31

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Bouchard vs Barzal

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BouchardBarzal
3Team record in 8 meetings5
0Points in those games8

Bouchard 0G 0A, 20 SOG · Barzal 3G 5A, 16 SOG

0Shots blocked by the other1

Bouchard blocked 0 of Barzal's shots; Barzal blocked 1 of Bouchard's.

On the ice against each other (Bouchard's side)

10:47 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Bouchard's side

Shot attempts
10–19
34.5%
Expected goals
1.0–1.2
45.3%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Evan Bouchard and Mathew Barzal
DateScoreBouchardBarzal
2026-01-15EDM 0–1 NYI0G 0A 6S0G 1A 2S
2025-10-16EDM 2–4 NYI0G 0A 3S1G 1A 1S
2023-12-19EDM 1–3 NYI0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2023-11-13EDM 4–1 NYI0G 0A 2S1G 0A 4S
2023-01-05EDM 4–2 NYI0G 0A 1S1G 0A 4S
2022-11-23EDM 0–3 NYI0G 0A 3S0G 1A 0S
2022-02-11EDM 3–1 NYI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 4S
2022-01-01EDM 2–3 NYI0G 0A 3S0G 1A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BouchardBarzal

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Evan Bouchard

3games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.9 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Mathew Barzal

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Nico Daws (.908)

FAQ

Should I start Evan Bouchard or Mathew Barzal in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Evan Bouchard projects to 3.14 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mathew Barzal's 1.82. Bouchard had 95 points in 82 games; Barzal had 72 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Evan Bouchard or Mathew Barzal?
On 2025-26 numbers, Evan Bouchard leads in 23 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Bouchard and Barzal done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Bouchard's team went 3–5. Bouchard had 0 points (0 goals) and Barzal had 8 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →