Who to start · 2025-26
Evan Bouchard vs Mattias Samuelsson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Evan Bouchard projects to 3.14 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01.
Bouchard had 95 points in 82 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games.
This week Bouchard has 1 game left; Samuelsson has 1 left. We project Bouchard for 2.5 ESPN points to Samuelsson's 2.0.
Evan Bouchard has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Bouchard's biggest edges: Power-play share 89.0%, Offensive-zone time 47.6%, Power-play time per game 3:36.
Samuelsson's biggest edges: Hits 132, Transition attempts /60 0.49, On-ice PDO 1036.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 4 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 10 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Evan Bouchard
3.14
fantasy points per game
Mattias Samuelsson
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Evan Bouchard has the edge.
| Points per game from | Bouchard | Samuelsson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.92 | 0.44 |
| Assists (+1) | 1.03 | 0.34 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.00 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.30 | 0.14 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.16 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.63 | 0.93 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Bouchard vs Samuelsson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Bouchard 1G 2A, 27 SOG · Samuelsson 0G 1A, 6 SOG
Bouchard blocked 1 of Samuelsson's shots; Samuelsson blocked 0 of Bouchard's.
On the ice against each other (Bouchard's side)
21:56 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Bouchard's side
- Shot attempts
- 21–18
- 53.8%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–1.3
- 39.8%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Bouchard | Samuelsson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 | EDM 3–4 BUF | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-11-17 | EDM 1–5 BUF | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-03-10 | EDM 2–3 BUF | 1G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-25 | EDM 3–2 BUF | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-10-18 | EDM 2–4 BUF | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-03-17 | EDM 6–1 BUF | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Evan Bouchard
3games (1 left)
2.5proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.5 pts
Mattias Samuelsson
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Evan Bouchard or Mattias Samuelsson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Evan Bouchard projects to 3.14 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01. Bouchard had 95 points in 82 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Evan Bouchard or Mattias Samuelsson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Evan Bouchard leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Bouchard and Samuelsson done against each other?
- In 6 games against each other in our data, Bouchard's team went 2–4. Bouchard had 3 points (1 goals) and Samuelsson had 1 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →