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Who to start · 2025-26

Filip Hronek vs Jake Guentzel

Filip HronekFilip HronekCanucks · DefencevsJake GuentzelJake GuentzelLightning · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Filip Hronek's 2.03.

Hronek had 49 points in 82 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games.

This week Hronek has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Guentzel has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Hronek for 3.5 ESPN points to Guentzel's 1.5.

Jake Guentzel has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Hronek's biggest edges: Hits 133, Hardest shot 95.6, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.09.

Guentzel's biggest edges: Plus/minus +13, Expected goals 55.2%, Sequence xG 54.9%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Filip Hronek

2.03

fantasy points per game

Jake Guentzel

2.20

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jake Guentzel has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHronekGuentzel
Goals (+2)0.170.88
Assists (+1)0.680.58
Power-play points (+0.5)0.140.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.170.27
Hits (+0.1)0.140.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.710.24

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Hronek vs Guentzel

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HronekGuentzel
5Team record in 12 meetings7
8Points in those games13

Hronek 1G 7A, 16 SOG · Guentzel 6G 7A, 37 SOG

4Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other2

Hronek blocked 1 of Guentzel's shots; Guentzel blocked 2 of Hronek's.

On the ice against each other (Hronek's side)

13:19 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Hronek's side

Shot attempts
2–27
6.9%
Expected goals
0.0–1.6
1.5%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Filip Hronek and Jake Guentzel
DateScoreHronekGuentzel
2026-03-19VAN 2–6 TBL0G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2025-11-16VAN 6–2 TBL0G 2A 0S1G 0A 3S
2024-10-15VAN 1–4 TBL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2024-01-11VAN 4–3 PIT0G 2A 0S0G 1A 8S
2022-12-28DET 5–4 PIT0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-04-23DET 2–7 PIT0G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S
2022-03-27DET 2–11 PIT0G 0A 0S0G 1A 0S
2022-01-28DET 3–2 PIT0G 0A 3S2G 0A 5S
2019-12-07DET 3–5 PIT1G 0A 3S1G 2A 2S
2019-04-04DET 1–4 PIT0G 1A 2S1G 0A 5S
2019-04-02DET 4–1 PIT0G 1A 0S0G 1A 5S
2018-12-27DET 2–5 PIT0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HronekGuentzel

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Filip Hronek

4games (2 left)

3.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ EDM
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs EDM
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY2.1 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DSchedule edge −3.4 win%Likely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)

Jake Guentzel

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Filip Hronek or Jake Guentzel in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Filip Hronek's 2.03. Hronek had 49 points in 82 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Filip Hronek or Jake Guentzel?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Guentzel leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hronek and Guentzel done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Hronek's team went 5–7. Hronek had 8 points (1 goals) and Guentzel had 13 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →