Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Filip Hronek vs Nikolaj Ehlers

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Filip Hronek projects to 2.03 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.72.

Hronek had 49 points in 82 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games.

This week Hronek has 2 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; Ehlers has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hronek for 3.5 ESPN points to Ehlers's 3.4.

Nikolaj Ehlers has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Hronek's biggest edges: Hits 133, Faceoffs won 0, Shorthanded points 2.

Ehlers's biggest edges: Expected goals 56.5%, Plus/minus +8, Sequence xG 56.1%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Filip Hronek

2.03

fantasy points per game

Nikolaj Ehlers

1.72

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Filip Hronek has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHronekEhlers
Goals (+2)0.170.59
Assists (+1)0.680.51
Power-play points (+0.5)0.140.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.170.25
Hits (+0.1)0.140.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.710.17

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Hronek vs Ehlers

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HronekEhlers
5Team record in 11 meetings6
6Points in those games11

Hronek 2G 4A, 13 SOG · Ehlers 5G 6A, 31 SOG

4Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other1

Hronek blocked 0 of Ehlers's shots; Ehlers blocked 1 of Hronek's.

On the ice against each other (Hronek's side)

10:11 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Hronek's side

Shot attempts
5–17
22.7%
Expected goals
0.1–0.4
16.4%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Filip Hronek and Nikolaj Ehlers
DateScoreHronekEhlers
2026-03-04VAN 4–6 CAR1G 2A 2S3G 0A 3S
2025-11-14VAN 3–4 CAR0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2025-03-30VAN 1–3 WPG0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2025-03-18VAN 6–2 WPG0G 0A 1S1G 0A 4S
2025-01-14VAN 1–6 WPG0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2024-03-09VAN 5–0 WPG0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-02-17VAN 2–4 WPG0G 0A 4S0G 0A 4S
2023-01-10DET 7–5 WPG0G 0A 0S1G 1A 5S
2022-04-06DET 3–1 WPG0G 0A 0S0G 1A 3S
2019-12-12DET 5–2 WPG1G 2A 3S0G 0A 4S
2019-12-10DET 1–5 WPG0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HronekEhlers

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Filip Hronek

4games (2 left)

3.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ EDM
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs EDM
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to DLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY2.1 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)

Nikolaj Ehlers

3games (2 left)

3.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to LWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH1.6 pts
    vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.9 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −12.1 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)

FAQ

Should I start Filip Hronek or Nikolaj Ehlers in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Filip Hronek projects to 2.03 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.72. Hronek had 49 points in 82 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Filip Hronek or Nikolaj Ehlers?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nikolaj Ehlers leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hronek and Ehlers done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Hronek's team went 5–6. Hronek had 6 points (2 goals) and Ehlers had 11 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →