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Who to start · 2025-26

Filip Hronek vs Tom Wilson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Filip Hronek's 2.03.

Hronek had 49 points in 82 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games.

This week Hronek has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Wilson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hronek for 3.5 ESPN points to Wilson's 2.3.

Tom Wilson has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Hronek's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 −0.09, Faceoffs won 0, Transition attempts /60 0.80.

Wilson's biggest edges: Plus/minus +15, Forecheck xG /60 0.51, Expected goals 55.1%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Filip Hronek

2.03

fantasy points per game

Tom Wilson

2.24

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Tom Wilson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHronekWilson
Goals (+2)0.170.78
Assists (+1)0.680.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.140.08
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.170.20
Hits (+0.1)0.140.25
Blocks (+0.5)0.710.44

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Hronek vs Wilson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HronekWilson
6Team record in 11 meetings5
5Points in those games7

Hronek 2G 3A, 17 SOG · Wilson 4G 3A, 20 SOG

1Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other1

Hronek blocked 1 of Wilson's shots; Wilson blocked 1 of Hronek's.

2Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Hronek's side)

8:44 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Hronek's side

Shot attempts
7–12
36.8%
Expected goals
0.3–0.4
46.9%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Filip Hronek and Tom Wilson
DateScoreHronekWilson
2026-01-21VAN 4–3 WSH1G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2025-10-19VAN 4–3 WSH0G 0A 0S0G 2A 1S
2025-01-25VAN 2–1 WSH0G 2A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-03-16VAN 1–2 WSH0G 0A 2S1G 0A 1S
2024-02-11VAN 3–2 WSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2023-02-21DET 3–1 WSH0G 0A 0S1G 0A 3S
2021-12-31DET 1–3 WSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2021-11-11DET 0–2 WSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2021-10-27DET 3–2 WSH0G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2019-11-30DET 2–5 WSH0G 0A 2S1G 0A 2S
2019-01-06DET 2–3 WSH1G 0A 3S1G 0A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HronekWilson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Filip Hronek

4games (2 left)

3.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ EDM
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs EDM
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY2.1 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DSchedule edge −3.4 win%Likely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)

Tom Wilson

2games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.3 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Filip Hronek or Tom Wilson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Filip Hronek's 2.03. Hronek had 49 points in 82 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Filip Hronek or Tom Wilson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tom Wilson leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hronek and Wilson done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Hronek's team went 6–5. Hronek had 5 points (2 goals) and Wilson had 7 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →