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Who to start · 2025-26

Gabriel Vilardi vs Matthew Knies

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Knies projects to 2.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Gabriel Vilardi's 1.76.

Vilardi had 69 points in 82 games; Knies had 66 in 79 games.

This week Vilardi has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Knies has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Knies for 1.4 ESPN points to Vilardi's 1.3.

Gabriel Vilardi has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Vilardi's biggest edges: Scoring chances 51.6%, Sequence xG 50.8%, Expected goals 50.3%.

Knies's biggest edges: Hits 152, 20+ mph bursts 97, Hardest shot 87.2.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Gabriel Vilardi

1.76

fantasy points per game

Matthew Knies

2.06

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Matthew Knies has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromVilardiKnies
Goals (+2)0.690.80
Assists (+1)0.510.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.19
Hits (+0.1)0.020.18
Blocks (+0.5)0.200.19

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Vilardi vs Knies

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

VilardiKnies
1Team record in 5 meetings4
8Points in those games2

Vilardi 2G 6A, 8 SOG · Knies 1G 1A, 10 SOG

2Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Vilardi's side)

9:47 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Vilardi's side

Shot attempts
11–11
50.0%
Expected goals
0.7–0.3
70.3%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between Gabriel Vilardi and Matthew Knies
DateScoreVilardiKnies
2026-01-17WPG 3–4 TOR0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2026-01-01WPG 5–6 TOR1G 1A 2S0G 1A 4S
2024-12-23WPG 5–2 TOR0G 3A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-10-28WPG 4–6 TOR1G 1A 2S1G 0A 3S
2024-01-27WPG 2–4 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

VilardiKnies

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Gabriel Vilardi

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.3 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

Matthew Knies

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to LWLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.4 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Gabriel Vilardi or Matthew Knies in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Knies projects to 2.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Gabriel Vilardi's 1.76. Vilardi had 69 points in 82 games; Knies had 66 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Gabriel Vilardi or Matthew Knies?
On 2025-26 numbers, Gabriel Vilardi leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Vilardi and Knies done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Vilardi's team went 1–4. Vilardi had 8 points (2 goals) and Knies had 2 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →