Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Gabriel Vilardi vs Mike Matheson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mike Matheson projects to 1.80 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Gabriel Vilardi's 1.76.

Vilardi had 69 points in 82 games; Matheson had 37 in 78 games.

This week Vilardi has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Matheson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Vilardi for 1.3 ESPN points to Matheson's 1.3.

Gabriel Vilardi has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Vilardi's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 65.5%, Offensive-zone time 44.8%, Scoring chances 51.6%.

Matheson's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 90, Hardest shot 100.6, Top skating speed 22.8.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Gabriel Vilardi

1.76

fantasy points per game

Mike Matheson

1.80

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mike Matheson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromVilardiMatheson
Goals (+2)0.690.17
Assists (+1)0.510.42
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.01
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.16
Hits (+0.1)0.020.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.200.96

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Vilardi vs Matheson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

VilardiMatheson
3Team record in 6 meetings3
9Points in those games3

Vilardi 3G 6A, 14 SOG · Matheson 0G 3A, 13 SOG

1Hits on each other1
2Shots blocked by the other3

Vilardi blocked 2 of Matheson's shots; Matheson blocked 3 of Vilardi's.

On the ice against each other (Vilardi's side)

18:55 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Vilardi's side

Shot attempts
27–20
57.4%
Expected goals
1.1–1.0
52.5%
Goals
2–1

Games against each other

Games between Gabriel Vilardi and Mike Matheson
DateScoreVilardiMatheson
2026-02-04WPG 1–5 MTL0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-12-03WPG 2–3 MTL0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-01-28WPG 4–1 MTL0G 2A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-12-14WPG 4–2 MTL1G 1A 2S0G 1A 3S
2023-12-18WPG 2–3 MTL1G 0A 5S0G 1A 3S
2023-03-02LAK 3–2 MTL1G 1A 2S0G 1A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

VilardiMatheson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Gabriel Vilardi

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.3 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

Mike Matheson

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.3 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Gabriel Vilardi or Mike Matheson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mike Matheson projects to 1.80 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Gabriel Vilardi's 1.76. Vilardi had 69 points in 82 games; Matheson had 37 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Gabriel Vilardi or Mike Matheson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Gabriel Vilardi leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Vilardi and Matheson done against each other?
In 6 games against each other in our data, Vilardi's team went 3–3. Vilardi had 9 points (3 goals) and Matheson had 3 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →