Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Gabriel Vilardi vs Morgan Frost

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Gabriel Vilardi projects to 1.76 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30.

Vilardi had 69 points in 82 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games.

This week Vilardi has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Frost has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. We project Frost for 2.6 ESPN points to Vilardi's 1.3.

Gabriel Vilardi has the better number in 21 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Vilardi's biggest edges: Ascension score 56, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.74, Scoring chances 51.6%.

Frost's biggest edges: Draw Equity /100 +0.083, Faceoff win % 56.8%, 20+ mph bursts 142.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Gabriel Vilardi

1.76

fantasy points per game

Morgan Frost

1.30

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Gabriel Vilardi has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromVilardiFrost
Goals (+2)0.690.50
Assists (+1)0.510.24
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.17
Hits (+0.1)0.020.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.200.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Vilardi vs Frost

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

VilardiFrost
3Team record in 6 meetings3
2Points in those games6

Vilardi 1G 1A, 11 SOG · Frost 1G 5A, 13 SOG

On the ice against each other (Vilardi's side)

1:37 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Vilardi's side

Shot attempts
1–4
20.0%
Expected goals
0.1–0.2
20.5%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Gabriel Vilardi and Morgan Frost
DateScoreVilardiFrost
2025-11-15WPG 4–3 CGY0G 0A 0S0G 2A 3S
2025-10-24WPG 5–3 CGY1G 1A 2S0G 1A 0S
2025-10-20WPG 2–1 CGY0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-02-08WPG 1–4 PHI0G 0A 1S1G 1A 1S
2024-01-13WPG 0–2 PHI0G 0A 5S0G 1A 5S
2022-12-31LAK 2–4 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

VilardiFrost

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Gabriel Vilardi

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.3 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

Morgan Frost

3games (2 left)

2.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs SEA
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ VAN1.6 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +3.5 win%Likely vs Leevi Meriläinen (.860)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ SEAB2B1.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Gabriel Vilardi or Morgan Frost in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Gabriel Vilardi projects to 1.76 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30. Vilardi had 69 points in 82 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Gabriel Vilardi or Morgan Frost?
On 2025-26 numbers, Gabriel Vilardi leads in 21 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Vilardi and Frost done against each other?
In 6 games against each other in our data, Vilardi's team went 3–3. Vilardi had 2 points (1 goals) and Frost had 6 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →