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Who to start · 2025-26

Gabriel Vilardi vs Seth Jarvis

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Gabriel Vilardi's 1.76.

Vilardi had 69 points in 82 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.

This week Vilardi has 1 game left; Jarvis has 1 left. We project Jarvis for 2.2 ESPN points to Vilardi's 1.8.

Seth Jarvis has the better number in 24 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Vilardi's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1018, Luck Meter +20, Blocked shots 35.

Jarvis's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 171, Top skating speed 23.4, Forecheck xG /60 0.39.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Gabriel Vilardi

1.77

fantasy points per game

Seth Jarvis

2.19

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Seth Jarvis has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromVilardiJarvis
Goals (+2)0.730.90
Assists (+1)0.480.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.150.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.04
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.32
Hits (+0.1)0.020.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.19

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Vilardi vs Jarvis

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

VilardiJarvis
2Team record in 6 meetings4
3Points in those games6

Vilardi 2G 1A, 11 SOG · Jarvis 5G 1A, 24 SOG

1Hits on each other0
0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Vilardi's side)

15:50 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Vilardi's side

Shot attempts
16–16
50.0%
Expected goals
0.9–0.9
48.7%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Gabriel Vilardi and Seth Jarvis
DateScoreVilardiJarvis
2025-11-28WPG 1–5 CAR0G 1A 0S3G 0A 8S
2025-11-21WPG 3–4 CAR2G 0A 5S1G 0A 3S
2025-03-09WPG 2–4 CAR0G 0A 1S1G 0A 6S
2025-02-04WPG 3–0 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2023-12-04WPG 2–1 CAR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2022-12-03LAK 2–4 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

VilardiJarvis

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Gabriel Vilardi

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.8 pts

Seth Jarvis

3games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 pts

FAQ

Should I start Gabriel Vilardi or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Gabriel Vilardi's 1.76. Vilardi had 69 points in 82 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Gabriel Vilardi or Seth Jarvis?
On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 24 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Vilardi and Jarvis done against each other?
In 6 games against each other in our data, Vilardi's team went 2–4. Vilardi had 3 points (2 goals) and Jarvis had 6 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →