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Who to start · 2025-26

Ivan Barbashev vs Ryan O'Reilly

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Barbashev's 1.59.

Barbashev had 61 points in 82 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.

This week Barbashev has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; O'Reilly has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project O'Reilly for 2.0 ESPN points to Barbashev's 1.8.

Ryan O'Reilly has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Barbashev's biggest edges: Hits 137, Offensive-zone start % 67.1%, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.54.

O'Reilly's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 739, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.007, Power-play share 60.2%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ivan Barbashev

1.59

fantasy points per game

Ryan O'Reilly

1.90

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Ryan O'Reilly has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBarbashevO'Reilly
Goals (+2)0.490.58
Assists (+1)0.530.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.150.20
Hits (+0.1)0.180.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.200.38

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Barbashev vs O'Reilly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BarbashevO'Reilly
6Team record in 11 meetings5
5Points in those games9

Barbashev 2G 3A, 15 SOG · O'Reilly 4G 5A, 16 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other1

Barbashev's offensive zone 1–1 · neutral 0–0 · Barbashev's defensive zone 0–0 (2017-18 to 2023-24)

1Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other1

Barbashev blocked 0 of O'Reilly's shots; O'Reilly blocked 1 of Barbashev's.

6Goals set up by the other5

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice against each other (Barbashev's side)

20:02 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Barbashev's side

Shot attempts
27–8
77.1%
Expected goals
1.3–0.5
70.9%
Goals
0–2

Games against each other

Games between Ivan Barbashev and Ryan O'Reilly
DateScoreBarbashevO'Reilly
2026-03-21VGK 1–4 NSH0G 1A 4S1G 1A 5S
2026-01-17VGK 7–2 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 1A 0S
2025-12-31VGK 2–4 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-04-12VGK 5–3 NSH1G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-29VGK 3–1 NSH0G 1A 2S1G 0A 1S
2025-01-14VGK 3–5 NSH0G 0A 0S1G 0A 1S
2024-03-26VGK 4–5 NSH1G 0A 1S1G 2A 1S
2024-02-20VGK 3–5 NSH0G 1A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-01-15VGK 4–1 NSH0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2018-02-03STL 1–0 BUF0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2017-12-10STL 3–2 BUF0G 0A 2S0G 1A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BarbashevO'Reilly

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ivan Barbashev

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to LWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN1.8 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

Ryan O'Reilly

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)

FAQ

Should I start Ivan Barbashev or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Barbashev's 1.59. Barbashev had 61 points in 82 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ivan Barbashev or Ryan O'Reilly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan O'Reilly leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Barbashev and O'Reilly done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Barbashev's team went 6–5. Barbashev had 5 points (2 goals) and O'Reilly had 9 (4 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Barbashev or O'Reilly?
Against each other, Barbashev has won 1 and O'Reilly 1 of their 2 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →