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Who to start · 2025-26

Ivan Demidov vs Mathew Barzal

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mathew Barzal projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Demidov's 1.38.

Demidov had 62 points in 82 games; Barzal had 72 in 81 games.

This week Demidov has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Barzal has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Barzal for 1.4 ESPN points to Demidov's 1.2.

Mathew Barzal has the better number in 22 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Demidov's biggest edges: Hardest shot 90.1, Luck Meter +37, Goals above expected +0.5.

Barzal's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 210, Corsi 51.6%, Forecheck xG /60 0.36.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ivan Demidov

1.46

fantasy points per game

Mathew Barzal

1.82

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mathew Barzal has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDemidovBarzal
Goals (+2)0.460.47
Assists (+1)0.520.65
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.150.23
Hits (+0.1)0.030.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.160.31

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Demidov vs Barzal

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DemidovBarzal
2Team record in 3 meetings1
2Points in those games2

Demidov 1G 1A, 4 SOG · Barzal 0G 2A, 8 SOG

On the ice against each other (Demidov's side)

6:32 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Demidov's side

Shot attempts
4–15
21.1%
Expected goals
0.1–0.6
19.3%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Ivan Demidov and Mathew Barzal
DateScoreDemidovBarzal
2026-04-12MTL 4–1 NYI1G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S
2026-03-21MTL 7–3 NYI0G 0A 2S0G 1A 4S
2026-02-26MTL 3–4 NYI0G 1A 1S0G 1A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DemidovBarzal

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ivan Demidov

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to RWLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.2 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to RWvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Mathew Barzal

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Nico Daws (.908)

FAQ

Should I start Ivan Demidov or Mathew Barzal in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mathew Barzal projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Demidov's 1.38. Demidov had 62 points in 82 games; Barzal had 72 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ivan Demidov or Mathew Barzal?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mathew Barzal leads in 22 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Demidov and Barzal done against each other?
In 3 games against each other in our data, Demidov's team went 2–1. Demidov had 2 points (1 goals) and Barzal had 2 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →