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Who to start · 2025-26

Ivan Provorov vs Jake Sanderson

In 2025-26, Jake Sanderson scored 2.40 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.

Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Sanderson had 54 in 67 games.

This week Provorov has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Sanderson has 1 left. We project Sanderson for 1.7 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.

Jake Sanderson has the better number in 26 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Provorov's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 32, Forecheck xG /60 0.32, On-ice PDO 1012.

Sanderson's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 44.8%, Fenwick 57.8%, Top skating speed 24.4.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ivan Provorov

1.56

fantasy points per game

Jake Sanderson

2.40

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jake Sanderson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromProvorovSanderson
Goals (+2)0.220.42
Assists (+1)0.270.60
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.22
Hits (+0.1)0.030.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.820.96

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Provorov vs Sanderson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ProvorovSanderson
4Team record in 11 meetings7
2Points in those games3

Provorov 0G 2A, 18 SOG · Sanderson 2G 1A, 28 SOG

3Shots blocked by the other3

Provorov blocked 3 of Sanderson's shots; Sanderson blocked 3 of Provorov's.

On the ice against each other (Provorov's side)

23:15 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Provorov's side

Shot attempts
24–22
52.2%
Expected goals
0.8–0.5
63.9%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Ivan Provorov and Jake Sanderson
DateScoreProvorovSanderson
2026-01-20CBJ 1–4 OTT0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-12-29CBJ 4–1 OTT0G 0A 0S1G 0A 1S
2025-12-11CBJ 3–6 OTT0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-04-08CBJ 5–2 OTT0G 1A 3S0G 0A 7S
2025-04-06CBJ 0–4 OTT0G 0A 1S0G 1A 4S
2025-03-29CBJ 2–3 OTT0G 0A 3S1G 0A 4S
2024-03-14CBJ 2–3 OTT0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-12-01CBJ 4–2 OTT0G 1A 0S0G 0A 1S
2023-03-30PHI 4–5 OTT0G 0A 0S0G 0A 4S
2022-11-12PHI 1–4 OTT0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2022-11-05PHI 2–1 OTT0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ProvorovSanderson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ivan Provorov

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Jake Sanderson

1games

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TOR1.7 pts
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)

FAQ

Should I start Ivan Provorov or Jake Sanderson in fantasy hockey?
In 2025-26, Jake Sanderson scored 2.40 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Sanderson had 54 in 67 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ivan Provorov or Jake Sanderson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Sanderson leads in 26 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Provorov and Sanderson done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Provorov's team went 4–7. Provorov had 2 points (0 goals) and Sanderson had 3 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →