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Who to start · 2025-26

Ivan Provorov vs Josh Manson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ivan Provorov projects to 1.56 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Josh Manson's 1.48.

Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Manson had 31 in 79 games.

This week Provorov has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Manson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Provorov for 1.1 ESPN points to Manson's 1.1.

Josh Manson has the better number in 17 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Provorov's biggest edges: Ice time per game 24:49, Ice-time share 40.7%, Goals above expected +0.7.

Manson's biggest edges: Hits 174, Offensive-zone time 42.5%, Fenwick 57.4%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ivan Provorov

1.56

fantasy points per game

Josh Manson

1.46

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Ivan Provorov has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromProvorovManson
Goals (+2)0.220.13
Assists (+1)0.270.33
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.16
Hits (+0.1)0.030.22
Blocks (+0.5)0.820.63

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Provorov vs Manson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ProvorovManson
6Team record in 11 meetings5
5Points in those games4

Provorov 2G 3A, 21 SOG · Manson 0G 4A, 20 SOG

0Shots blocked by the other3

Provorov blocked 0 of Manson's shots; Manson blocked 3 of Provorov's.

On the ice against each other (Provorov's side)

17:26 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Provorov's side

Shot attempts
20–13
60.6%
Expected goals
1.2–0.5
70.0%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Ivan Provorov and Josh Manson
DateScoreProvorovManson
2026-01-10CBJ 0–4 COL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-10-16CBJ 1–4 COL1G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2024-10-12CBJ 6–4 COL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-04-01CBJ 4–1 COL0G 1A 2S0G 0A 4S
2024-03-22CBJ 1–6 COL0G 0A 4S0G 1A 4S
2022-03-25PHI 3–6 COL0G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2019-12-29PHI 2–1 ANA0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2019-12-17PHI 4–1 ANA0G 1A 3S0G 0A 3S
2019-02-09PHI 6–2 ANA0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2017-10-24PHI 2–6 ANA0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2017-10-07PHI 3–2 ANA1G 1A 2S0G 1A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ProvorovManson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ivan Provorov

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Josh Manson

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to DLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.1 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

FAQ

Should I start Ivan Provorov or Josh Manson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ivan Provorov projects to 1.56 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Josh Manson's 1.48. Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Manson had 31 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ivan Provorov or Josh Manson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Josh Manson leads in 17 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Provorov and Manson done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Provorov's team went 6–5. Provorov had 5 points (2 goals) and Manson had 4 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →