Who to start · 2025-26
Ivan Provorov vs Noah Dobson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.
Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Dobson had 47 in 80 games.
This week Provorov has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Dobson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Dobson for 1.6 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.
Noah Dobson has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Provorov's biggest edges: High-danger chances 52.3%, Scoring chances 51.5%, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.060.
Dobson's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 41.9%, Offensive-zone start % 50.4%, Hits 62.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Ivan Provorov
1.56
fantasy points per game
Noah Dobson
2.24
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Noah Dobson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Provorov | Dobson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.27 | 0.44 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.08 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.82 | 1.18 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Provorov vs Dobson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Provorov 0G 7A, 38 SOG · Dobson 3G 6A, 43 SOG
Provorov blocked 0 of Dobson's shots; Dobson blocked 2 of Provorov's.
On the ice against each other (Provorov's side)
24:38 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Provorov's side
- Shot attempts
- 29–18
- 61.7%
- Expected goals
- 1.4–0.5
- 75.3%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Provorov | Dobson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | CBJ 5–2 MTL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2026-03-26 | CBJ 1–2 MTL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-11-17 | CBJ 4–3 MTL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-04-17 | CBJ 6–1 NYI | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-03-24 | CBJ 4–3 NYI | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-01-20 | CBJ 1–3 NYI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-10-30 | CBJ 2–0 NYI | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-04-04 | CBJ 2–4 NYI | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-12-07 | CBJ 3–7 NYI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2023-10-28 | CBJ 0–2 NYI | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-04-08 | PHI 0–4 NYI | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2023-02-06 | PHI 1–2 NYI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
Latest 12 of 23 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Ivan Provorov
2games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs BUFOpp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Noah Dobson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ TOROpp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 ptsOpp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Ivan Provorov or Noah Dobson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Dobson had 47 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Ivan Provorov or Noah Dobson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Noah Dobson leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Provorov and Dobson done against each other?
- In 23 games against each other in our data, Provorov's team went 9–14. Provorov had 7 points (0 goals) and Dobson had 9 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →