Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Jack Hughes vs Nikolaj Ehlers

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jack Hughes projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65.

Hughes had 77 points in 61 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games.

This week Hughes has 1 game left; Ehlers has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hughes for 2.3 ESPN points to Ehlers's 1.8.

Nikolaj Ehlers has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Hughes's biggest edges: Ice-time share 35.1%, Faceoffs won 145, Ice time per game 21:19.

Ehlers's biggest edges: Hardest shot 93.6, Goals above expected +3.6, Top skating speed 23.1.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jack Hughes

2.55

fantasy points per game

Nikolaj Ehlers

1.65

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jack Hughes has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHughesEhlers
Goals (+2)0.950.56
Assists (+1)0.770.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.180.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.380.26
Hits (+0.1)0.010.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.250.16

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head

Jack Hughes and Nikolaj Ehlers have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HughesEhlers

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jack Hughes

2games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI2.3 pts
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to Cvs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

Nikolaj Ehlers

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −12.8 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)

FAQ

Should I start Jack Hughes or Nikolaj Ehlers in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jack Hughes projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65. Hughes had 77 points in 61 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jack Hughes or Nikolaj Ehlers?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nikolaj Ehlers leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →