Who to start · 2025-26
Jack Hughes vs Seth Jarvis
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jack Hughes projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jarvis's 2.19.
Hughes had 77 points in 61 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.
This week Hughes has 1 game left; Jarvis has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hughes for 2.3 ESPN points to Jarvis's 2.3.
Seth Jarvis has the better number in 18 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Hughes's biggest edges: High-danger chances 53.6%, Faceoffs won 145, Luck Meter −2.
Jarvis's biggest edges: Hits 81, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.093, Top skating speed 23.4.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jack Hughes
2.55
fantasy points per game
Seth Jarvis
2.19
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jack Hughes has the edge.
| Points per game from | Hughes | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.89 | 0.90 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.82 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.02 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.01 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Hughes vs Jarvis
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Hughes 8G 9A, 69 SOG · Jarvis 6G 8A, 35 SOG
Hughes's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–1 · Hughes's defensive zone 0–0 (2024-25)
Hughes blocked 0 of Jarvis's shots; Jarvis blocked 2 of Hughes's.
On the ice against each other (Hughes's side)
25:18 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Hughes's side
- Shot attempts
- 20–31
- 39.2%
- Expected goals
- 1.3–1.4
- 46.8%
- Goals
- 1–3
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Hughes | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | NJD 2–5 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2026-01-17 | NJD 1–4 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-10-09 | NJD 3–6 CAR | 0G 1A 1S | 2G 0A 3S |
| 2024-12-28 | NJD 2–5 CAR | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 3A 3S |
| 2024-12-27 | NJD 4–2 CAR | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-10-15 | NJD 2–4 CAR | 1G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-03-09 | NJD 2–4 CAR | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-02-10 | NJD 0–1 CAR | 0G 0A 7S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-05-11 · PO | NJD 2–3 CAR | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-05-09 · PO | NJD 1–6 CAR | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-05-07 · PO | NJD 8–4 CAR | 2G 2A 4S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2023-05-05 · PO | NJD 1–6 CAR | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 3S |
Latest 12 of 19 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Jack Hughes
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs PHIOpp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI2.3 ptsOpp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
Seth Jarvis
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.3 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jack Hughes or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jack Hughes projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jarvis's 2.19. Hughes had 77 points in 61 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Jack Hughes or Seth Jarvis?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 18 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Hughes and Jarvis done against each other?
- In 19 games against each other in our data, Hughes's team went 5–14. Hughes had 17 points (8 goals) and Jarvis had 14 (6 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Hughes or Jarvis?
- Against each other, Hughes has won 0 and Jarvis 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →