Who to start · 2025-26
Jack Hughes vs Tom Wilson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jack Hughes projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tom Wilson's 2.24.
Hughes had 77 points in 61 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games.
This week Hughes has 1 game left; Wilson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hughes for 2.3 ESPN points to Wilson's 2.3.
They split the 34 stats both are ranked on 17–17.
Hughes's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.55, Offensive-zone start % 79.3%, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.016.
Wilson's biggest edges: Hits 179, Penalty minutes 117, On-ice PDO 1017.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jack Hughes
2.55
fantasy points per game
Tom Wilson
2.24
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jack Hughes has the edge.
| Points per game from | Hughes | Wilson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.95 | 0.78 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.77 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.18 | 0.08 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.38 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.01 | 0.25 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.25 | 0.44 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Hughes vs Wilson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Hughes 4G 18A, 71 SOG · Wilson 7G 12A, 56 SOG
Hughes's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 1–1 · Hughes's defensive zone 0–0 (2021-22 to 2024-25)
Hughes blocked 0 of Wilson's shots; Wilson blocked 1 of Hughes's.
On the ice against each other (Hughes's side)
17:58 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Hughes's side
- Shot attempts
- 15–13
- 53.6%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.4
- 44.6%
- Goals
- 2–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Hughes | Wilson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | NJD 7–3 WSH | 2G 3A 5S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2026-03-20 | NJD 1–2 WSH | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-12-27 | NJD 3–4 WSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-11-30 | NJD 5–6 WSH | 0G 3A 6S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-11-23 | NJD 3–2 WSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-10-19 | NJD 5–6 WSH | 0G 0A 3S | 2G 1A 4S |
| 2024-10-12 | NJD 5–3 WSH | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2024-02-20 | NJD 2–6 WSH | 0G 0A 7S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-01-03 | NJD 6–3 WSH | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-10-25 | NJD 4–6 WSH | 0G 3A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-04-13 | NJD 5–4 WSH | 0G 2A 5S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2023-03-09 | NJD 3–2 WSH | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 24 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Jack Hughes
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs PHIOpp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI2.3 ptsOpp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
Tom Wilson
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.3 ptsOpp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jack Hughes or Tom Wilson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jack Hughes projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tom Wilson's 2.24. Hughes had 77 points in 61 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Jack Hughes or Tom Wilson?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 17–17 across 34 stats where both qualify.
- How have Hughes and Wilson done against each other?
- In 24 games against each other in our data, Hughes's team went 8–16. Hughes had 22 points (4 goals) and Wilson had 19 (7 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Hughes or Wilson?
- Against each other, Hughes has won 2 and Wilson 1 of their 3 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →