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Who to start · 2025-26

Jack Hughes vs Vince Dunn

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jack Hughes projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vince Dunn's 1.83.

Hughes had 77 points in 61 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games.

This week Hughes has 1 game left; Dunn has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Dunn for 3.6 ESPN points to Hughes's 2.3.

Jack Hughes has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Hughes's biggest edges: Fenwick 55.3%, Corsi 55.9%, Scoring chances 56.0%.

Dunn's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 54, On-ice PDO 1012, Hardest shot 94.2.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jack Hughes

2.55

fantasy points per game

Vince Dunn

1.83

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jack Hughes has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHughesDunn
Goals (+2)0.950.38
Assists (+1)0.770.51
Power-play points (+0.5)0.180.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.380.22
Hits (+0.1)0.010.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.250.53

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Hughes vs Dunn

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HughesDunn
7Team record in 10 meetings3
11Points in those games6

Hughes 2G 9A, 34 SOG · Dunn 1G 5A, 20 SOG

2Shots blocked by the other1

Hughes blocked 2 of Dunn's shots; Dunn blocked 1 of Hughes's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Hughes's side)

14:54 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Hughes's side

Shot attempts
20–5
80.0%
Expected goals
0.9–0.0
97.5%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Jack Hughes and Vince Dunn
DateScoreHughesDunn
2026-01-25NJD 2–4 SEA1G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2026-01-14NJD 3–2 SEA0G 2A 2S0G 2A 2S
2025-01-06NJD 3–2 SEA0G 1A 5S0G 0A 1S
2024-12-06NJD 3–2 SEA0G 2A 3S0G 1A 0S
2024-02-12NJD 3–1 SEA1G 1A 7S0G 0A 3S
2023-12-07NJD 2–1 SEA0G 0A 4S0G 0A 4S
2023-01-19NJD 3–4 SEA0G 1A 5S0G 1A 4S
2021-10-19NJD 4–2 SEA0G 1A 1S0G 1A 1S
2020-03-06NJD 4–2 STL0G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2020-02-18NJD 0–3 STL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HughesDunn

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jack Hughes

2games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI2.3 pts
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

Vince Dunn

3games (2 left)

3.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Jack Hughes or Vince Dunn in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jack Hughes projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vince Dunn's 1.83. Hughes had 77 points in 61 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jack Hughes or Vince Dunn?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jack Hughes leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hughes and Dunn done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Hughes's team went 7–3. Hughes had 11 points (2 goals) and Dunn had 6 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →