Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Jackson Blake vs Nathan MacKinnon

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jackson Blake's 1.45.

Blake had 53 points in 81 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.

This week Blake has 1 game left; MacKinnon has 1 left. We project MacKinnon for 3.2 ESPN points to Blake's 1.4.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Blake's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.020, Ascension score 55, Forecheck xG /60 0.40.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 681, Top skating speed 24.8, Goals above expected +4.3.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jackson Blake

1.45

fantasy points per game

Nathan MacKinnon

3.32

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBlakeMacKinnon
Goals (+2)0.481.49
Assists (+1)0.400.87
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.21
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.220.46
Hits (+0.1)0.010.09
Blocks (+0.5)0.240.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Blake vs MacKinnon

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BlakeMacKinnon
2Team record in 4 meetings2
1Points in those games10

Blake 0G 1A, 5 SOG · MacKinnon 2G 8A, 16 SOG

On the ice against each other (Blake's side)

2:35 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Blake's side

Shot attempts
4–2
66.7%
Expected goals
0.4–0.1
86.4%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Jackson Blake and Nathan MacKinnon
DateScoreBlakeMacKinnon
2026-01-03CAR 3–5 COL0G 0A 2S1G 3A 2S
2025-10-23CAR 5–4 COL0G 1A 2S0G 1A 4S
2024-12-05CAR 5–3 COL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S
2024-11-09CAR 4–6 COL0G 0A 0S1G 3A 7S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BlakeMacKinnon

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jackson Blake

3games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.4 pts

Nathan MacKinnon

2games (1 left)

3.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL3.2 pts

FAQ

Should I start Jackson Blake or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jackson Blake's 1.45. Blake had 53 points in 81 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jackson Blake or Nathan MacKinnon?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Blake and MacKinnon done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Blake's team went 2–2. Blake had 1 points (0 goals) and MacKinnon had 10 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →